First the news and the initial reactions. Should you jump straight to more refined thought, hit the bottom of the post.
The economy
unexpectedly contracted in the fourth quarter, suffering its first decline
since the recession ended more than three years ago as businesses scaled back
on restocking and government spending plunged.
The economy
in the U.S. unexpectedly shrank in the fourth quarter,
restrained by the biggest plunge in defense spending in four decades and
dwindling inventory growth as household purchases picked up.
U.S. Economy Unexpectedly Contracts – WSJ
Yikes! Economy shrank in fourth quarter for the first time since '09 – Wonkblog / WP
Yikes! Economy shrank in fourth quarter for the first time since '09 – Wonkblog / WP
Shrinkage:
US Economy Declined By -0.1% In Q4 – ZH
GDP Q4 Advance Estimate at -0.1%, A Shocking Slip into Contraction – dshort
GDP Takeaways: Isn’t as Bad as It Looks – WSJ
Okay if it
does not happen again – Juhani
Huopainen / TradingFloor
Stumble or
worse? – Free
exchange / The Economist
Some
Anomalies in the Q4 Advance Estimate Negative Print – dshort
Fiscal Cliff Didn’t Hold Back Business Spending – WSJ
Fiscal Cliff Didn’t Hold Back Business Spending – WSJ
GDP Is Better Than Headline, but Still Not Good – WSJ
Falling
Government Spending and Inventories Push Growth Negative in Quarter – CEPR
Will the 'Real' GDP Please Stand Up? (The Deflator Makes Big a Difference) – dshort
Will the 'Real' GDP Please Stand Up? (The Deflator Makes Big a Difference) – dshort
Why Did
Economists Get GDP Wrong? – WSJ
GDP falling again – Econbrowser