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Friday, August 14

14th Aug - Europe's Q2 GDP mediocre

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Spain: Selected Issues – IMF
Article IV Consultation Staff Report – IMF
Spain: Maintaining the Strong Growth Momentum – IMF

  Q2 GDP
Euro-Area Fragility Shown as Germany, France Fall Short – BB
Italian Economy Grew Less Than Forecast in Second Quarter – BB
Euro zone economy sputters as China risks loom – Reuters
Euro zone grows less than expected in second quarter – Reuters
Eurozone recovery undershoots expectations – FT
German growth - strong without being impressive – Carsten Brzeski
GDP growth became even more modest in Q2 – Handelsbanken
Disappointing 0.3 % growth in second quarter – Nordea
Eurozone recovery loses momentum – ABN AMRO
5 Takeaways From Eurozone GDP – WSJ
European GDP All "Big Three" Economies Miss Expectations – ZH
The euro-zone recovery is losing momentum – The Economist

Greek MPs approve €85bn bailout plan – FT
Greek Lawmakers Approve €86 Billion Rescue Package – BB
Tsipras wins bailout vote, faces widening rebellion – Reuters
Brussels backs IMF over Greek debt relief – FT
IMF: Lagarde eyes new act in Greek drama – FT
Greece faces new elections amid Syriza splits – Open Europe
Finland’s Stubb: ‘I’ve Never Seen Risks Like That in Negotiations’ – WSJ
Euro ministers set to launch Greek bailout, wooing IMF on debt – Reuters

El-Erian: Fed’s reaction to domestic and international developmentsFT

Great Graphic: Fed Expectations--Surveys and Markets Marc Chandler

Producer Prices Rise More Than Expected – ZH
Industrial Production Rises Most Since November After Significant Downward Revisions – ZH
Industrial output jumps as auto production surges – Reuters
Factory Production in U.S. Gains on Stronger Auto Assembly – BB
UMich Consumer Sentiment Slips – ZH

Morning MoneyBeat AsiaWSJ
U.S. Stocks Close Flat

Morning MoneyBeat EuropeWSJ
Slowing Eurozone Growth Does Little to Dent Stocks

Morning MoneyBeat USWSJ
Amid China Woes, Rate-Sensitive Stocks Still Shine

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Global DailyABN AMRO
US retail sales accelerated in July, boosting rate hike expectations * After adjusting USD-CNY fixing for the third day in a row, China acts to ease devaluation fears * Global investor sentiment looks to be entering calmer waters

Euro rates updateNordea

PBoC revalues CNY * Greek MPs debate * USD on the back-foot * Euro-area GDP growth likely remained solid in Q2

Morning MarketsTF
Greece is back on the agenda today after a long and rancorous parliamentary debate in Athens overnight on its draft €85bn rescue package, during which the prime minister, Alexis Tsipras, declared the measures "would send the country back into crisis". Meanwhile, data released earlier this morning show tepid growth in Germany and stagnation in France

Daily FX CommentMarc Chandler
Five Things to Know before the Weekend

Daily ShotTF
Low oil price and strong USD have a huge impact on emerging markets. In the US imports get cheaper while the incentive to produce anything in the US diminishes.

Daily Press SummaryOpen Europe
Greek Parliament approves third bailout package but large Syriza rebellion could mean fresh elections soon * France and Germany fall short of growth expectations in second quarter of the year * ECB sees downside risk to Eurozone growth from China and other external factors * New Polish President: We do not want to be NATO’s buffer zone * Refugee caravan hits fence in Hungary as record number of migrants enter Greece in July * Google given until end of August to respond to EU competition probe * Russia extends food import ban to several non-EU countries

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Greek grind — Google extension — Uber euphoria

Stock Futures Lower Despite Overnight Calm In Ongoing Currency Wars

FX UpdateTF
Currency traders are struggling for reasons to trade the major currencies as the summer doldrums have settled over the market despite the CNY devaluation. Still, SEK and NZD are on the move and the Turkish lira dipped to another record low on political uncertainty.

From the FloorTF
WTI is once again banging on the door of $40/barrel after hitting a new six-year low overnight. This could end up in the low $30s/b before we get a recovery.

Vientinäkymät Venäjälle pysyvät surkeina * Suomen BKT supistui toisella neljänneksellä * USA:sta kohtuulliset vähittäismyyntiluvut * Ruotsin heinäkuun inflaatio keskuspankin ennusteen yläpuolella * EURUSD päätti kuuden päivän nousuputken

Pitäisikö eurosta erota?Osmo Soininvaara

Vaihtotase kesäk. ylijäämäinen, pääomaa vietiin nettomääräisesti – Tilastokeskus
Koko kaupan myynti kesäk. -1,5% YoY – Tilastokeskus
Kansantalouden tuotanto kesäk. hieman edelliskuukautta pienempi – Tilastokeskus