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Thursday, August 27

27th Aug - After dovish central banks, good data

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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FX: how much QE is needed from the ECB?Nordea
The EUR has strengthened 10% from its lows this spring. Currency strength and energy prices are likely to dampen Euro Area 2016-2017 inflation materially, ECB's chief economist is talking softly. Shouldn't the ECB do more? A simple way would be to follow in the footsteps of the Bank of Japan, which expanded its QQE program last year. Such a move would have a substantial impact on the EUR.

Benoît Cœuré: Lessons from the crisis for the future of EZECB
ECB’s Cœuré on the Future of the EurozoneCraig Willy
ECB preview: Dovish and slightly worriedDanske Bank

Spanish Consumers Propel Fastest Growth in Eight YearsBB

Second Fed rate hike delay this year slowly getting more officialReuters

Q2 GDP growth rate revised up to 3.7 percent – Reuters
Q2 GDP Revision From 2.3% To 3.7% Driven By Record Inventory Build – ZH
Economy in U.S. Grew More Than Forecast in Second Quarter – BB
U.S. GDP Growth – At A Glance – WSJ
Economists React to GDP: ‘Recovery Shifted Up a Few Gears’ – WSJ
Q2 GDP growth revised up to 3.7% - Pictet

G10 FX Weekly  ABN AMRO
The euro as safe haven currency? No it’s a funding currency * The US dollar is still a safe-haven currency with a cyclical touch…while the yen is a safe-haven and funding currency * We have made some adjustments to our near-term forecasts

Market rout pushes EM FX further into the red…but CEEMA FX has been resilient except TRL and RUB * We have further lowered our forecasts for CEEMA & South African rand

5 Days That Taught Investors All They Need to KnowWSJ
A Wall Street veteran tells us it took just five days for him to learn all he needed to know about investing. The problem is, they've happened over the past 15 years.

Why Have US 10-Year Yields Risen 30 bp since Monday?Marc Chandler

Morning MoneyBeat AsiaWSJ
U.S. Stocks Rally Sharply, Break Losing Streak

Morning MoneyBeat EuropeWSJ
Recovery in Stocks Gains Traction

Morning MoneyBeat USWSJ
Questions for Central Bankers in Jackson Hole

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Euro rates updateNordea

Equities rebound, weaker EUR, and mixed bond markets * Fed’s Dudley feels case for September hike now “less compelling” * Short-term US Treasury yields fall *EUR/SEK still climbing

Morning MarketsTF
A Wall-Street rally inspired by a decent US Durables print and a receding prospect for a September rate hike sparked an equities rebound through Asia. Expect Europe to jump on this bandwagon too.

Daily FX CommentMarc Chandler
Markets Continue to Recover

Daily ShotTF
The US economy is showing signs of resilience, but expectations of a Federal Reserve rate increase have been pushed back and futures now show just above a 50% chance of a Fed rate hike by year-end.

Daily Press SummaryOpen Europe
Significant increase in EU migration to the UK as net migration hits a new record high *
Tsipras says he will not lead a coalition with the establishment parties * Dutch coalition at odds over how to tackle refugee crisis * Spanish recovery still largely driven by domestic demand, new data show * Lega Nord leader: Ready to re-hash alliance with Berlusconi if he breaks ties with Merkel * Fears of ‘brain drain’ in Ireland despite unemployment falling 17% * Lending to the private sector picking up in the Eurozone * Fourteen EU officials signed up to adultery website with their work e-mail addresses

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Poroshenko visit — More German spying revelations — Migration by the numbers

Aggressive Chinese Intervention Prevents Another Rout, Sends Stocks Soaring 5% In Last Trading Hour; US Futures Jump

Frontrunning ZH

FX UpdateTF
Central bank rhetoric is grabbing the market’s attention as the ECB trotted out its first verbal intervention yesterday, while the BoJ’s Kuroda stuck to his guns on optimistic inflation forecasts. But the main event for central bank guidance should be this weekend’s US Fed-sponsored Jackson Hole conference.

From the FloorTF
Asian markets recovered and European bourses started higher Thursday on the back of a solid rebound in US stocks overnight, though US Treasuries came under heavy selling pressure rumoured to be unloading by the Chinese government.

Investoinnit hylkäävät latinojättiläisen * USA:sta vahvat kestotavaroiden tilausluvut * Fedin Dudleyn mukaan syyskuun koronnostosta on tullut vähemmän houkutteleva vaihtoehto * Korot liikkuivat Euroopassa ja USA:ssa eri suuntiin

Väyrysen euro-aloite myötätuulessa - varjonyrkkeily Suomen Pankin kanssa jatkuuTE