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Wednesday, October 17

16th Oct - Recovering markets


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EUROPE
Editorial: Germany’s Shrinking Political Center – BB
Angela Merkel’s troubles bode ill for her country — and for Europe.

  ITALY
Italian Cabinet Approves 2019 Budget, Sends Plan To Brussels – ZH

Italy’s budget plans to weigh on euro – ING
Italy's deficit raising budget plan will remain an overhang for the euro while Brexit uncertainty is set to overshadow a solid UK jobs report

Italy’s Already on Precipice of Debt Spiral – BB
Average yield must fall to 2.63% to regain balance: Rabobank * Pain can be staved off until auctions demanding higher rates

Italy meets deadline to submit draft budget to EU – FT
Populist government defies Brussels targets and plans to widen budget deficit

The Bad and Less Bad News About Italy's New Budget – BB
The governing parties promise some familiar handouts. But their growth projections are based on some wildly optimistic forecasts.

Juncker Warns 'The EU Cannot Survive Without Italy' – ZH

Juncker hints Brussels will reject Italian budget – FT
European Commission president cites ‘gap’ between Rome’s promises and new plans


OTHER
Nordea View: The story is not over – Nordea
Slower growth, higher wage costs, rising interest rates, a negative liquidity trend, record-high margin expectations and stretched valuations leaves little to no room for negative surprises. We see further downside for equities the coming 6-9 months.
 
Investors Fretting Fed Error Most Bearish on Economy Since 2007 – BB

Record 85 percent of fund managers say world is in late cycle * Survey shows cash holdings remain at an elevated 5.1 percent


China May Have $5.8 Trillion in Hidden Debt With ‘Titanic’ Risks – BB
Local governments relying on LGFVs to fund projects, S&P Says * Citigroup analysts agree markets right to worry over debt risk

S&P Reveals $5.8 Trillion In "Hidden" Chinese Debt With "Titanic Credit Risks" – ZH


REGULARS
EU Open Rundown – RANsquawk

Brussels Edition Daily – BB

Brussels Briefing – FT
Italy’s budget D-Day has arrived - the deficit is forecast to swell to 2.4 per cent of GDP on the back of tax cuts and spending programmes

Eco Day Europe – BB
Fragile Brexit Talks, China Prices, U.S. Budget Blowout

FirstFT Daily Briefing – FT

WSJ Daily Economics – WSJ
U.S. Budget Deficit Heads Toward $1T | Is China Manipulating the Yuan? | College Costs Flatten

Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler

Brussels Playbook – Politico
Operation ‘Save Merkel’ — Accidental Americans seek USexit — RIP Daphne

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day – BB

Eco Day US – BB
U.K. Wages Jump, German Optimism Drops, Canton Fair

US Open – ZH
Global Markets Rebound As Calm Returns Ahead Of Earnings Deluge

US Open Rundown – RANsquawk

Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Brexit-neuvottelut edelleen solmussa, keskiviikkona alkavaa EU-huippukokousta seurataan tarkasti | USA:n vähittäismyyntiluvut jäivät odotuksista | Iso-Britanniasta saadaan tänään työmarkkinalukuja, Saksan ZEW-indeksi julkaistaan