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Wednesday, October 17

16th Oct - Recovering markets


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EUROPE
Editorial: Germany’s Shrinking Political CenterBB
Angela Merkel’s troubles bode ill for her country — and for Europe.

  ITALY
Italian Cabinet Approves 2019 Budget, Sends Plan To BrusselsZH

Italy’s budget plans to weigh on euroING
Italy's deficit raising budget plan will remain an overhang for the euro while Brexit uncertainty is set to overshadow a solid UK jobs report

Italy’s Already on Precipice of Debt SpiralBB
Average yield must fall to 2.63% to regain balance: Rabobank * Pain can be staved off until auctions demanding higher rates

Italy meets deadline to submit draft budget to EUFT
Populist government defies Brussels targets and plans to widen budget deficit

The Bad and Less Bad News About Italy's New BudgetBB
The governing parties promise some familiar handouts. But their growth projections are based on some wildly optimistic forecasts.

Juncker Warns 'The EU Cannot Survive Without Italy'ZH

Juncker hints Brussels will reject Italian budget FT
European Commission president cites ‘gap’ between Rome’s promises and new plans


OTHER
Nordea View: The story is not overNordea
Slower growth, higher wage costs, rising interest rates, a negative liquidity trend, record-high margin expectations and stretched valuations leaves little to no room for negative surprises. We see further downside for equities the coming 6-9 months.
 
Investors Fretting Fed Error Most Bearish on Economy Since 2007BB

Record 85 percent of fund managers say world is in late cycle * Survey shows cash holdings remain at an elevated 5.1 percent


China May Have $5.8 Trillion in Hidden Debt With ‘Titanic’ RisksBB
Local governments relying on LGFVs to fund projects, S&P Says * Citigroup analysts agree markets right to worry over debt risk

S&P Reveals $5.8 Trillion In "Hidden" Chinese Debt With "Titanic Credit Risks"ZH


REGULARS
EU Open RundownRANsquawk

Brussels Edition DailyBB

Brussels BriefingFT
Italy’s budget D-Day has arrived - the deficit is forecast to swell to 2.4 per cent of GDP on the back of tax cuts and spending programmes

Eco Day Europe BB
Fragile Brexit Talks, China Prices, U.S. Budget Blowout

FirstFT Daily BriefingFT

WSJ Daily Economics WSJ
U.S. Budget Deficit Heads Toward $1T | Is China Manipulating the Yuan? | College Costs Flatten

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler

Brussels Playbook Politico
Operation ‘Save Merkel’ — Accidental Americans seek USexit — RIP Daphne

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day BB

Eco Day USBB
U.K. Wages Jump, German Optimism Drops, Canton Fair

US OpenZH
Global Markets Rebound As Calm Returns Ahead Of Earnings Deluge

US Open RundownRANsquawk

AamukatsausNordea
Brexit-neuvottelut edelleen solmussa, keskiviikkona alkavaa EU-huippukokousta seurataan tarkasti | USA:n vähittäismyyntiluvut jäivät odotuksista | Iso-Britanniasta saadaan tänään työmarkkinalukuja, Saksan ZEW-indeksi julkaistaan