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Monday, October 29

29th Oct - Merkel to step down




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EUROPE

Mark Whitehouse: Europe Is Too Exposed to Italy to Let It Go – BB
French and German banks have more than $400 billion at stake and would lose big if the country left the currency union.


  GERMANY
Merkel to Quit as Party Chief as Her Chancellorship Wobbles – BB
German leader suggests field of CDU contenders is wide open * Seeks to steer growing speculation about end of Merkel era

Germany’s Merkel steps down as CDU leader – FT
Chancellor says she will also leave politics after current term ends in 2021

Merkel’s role as EU power-broker hit by trouble at home – FT
German chancellor’s retreat as party chief will complicate European decision-making

Leonid Bershidsky: Merkel’s Likely Successor: Nobody in Particular – BB
The German leader leaves behind a fractured political landscape.

Your Questions Answered on Merkel’s Shock Decision Not to Run Again – BB

As Merkel Heads for the Exit, Here’s Who’s Lining Up to Replace Her – BB
The race is on to succeed Germany’s chancellor as she prepares to leave the political stage

Germany: Political fragmentation continues – ING
Two weeks after the Bavarian elections, voters in the state of Hesse confirmed the ongoing process of political fragmentation and a transition to a post-Merkel era - making German national politics even more complicated

Merkel's CDU Suffers Crushing Losses; Worst Result For SPD In 130 Years – ZH


UNITED STATES
US election monitor no. 4 – Danske Bank
Trump proposes new tax cuts but unlikely to change momentum so close to Election Day

Forecasting the Next Recession: The Yield Curve Doesn’t Lie – Guggenheim
Our Recession Probability Model and Recession Dashboard continue to suggest a recession is likely to begin in early 2020. Investors ignore the yield curve’s signal at their peril.

Stocks, Yuan Tumble On Report US To Announce Tariffs On All China Imports If Trump-Xi Meeting Fails - ZH
 

OTHER
El-Erian: Central Banks No Longer Cushion Economies and Markets – BB
Get ready for greater instability as monetary policy in the U.S. and Europe moves away from the business of suppressing volatility.

Goldman Sees Just One Hope Left For A Bounce In Stocks - ZH

 
REGULARS
EU Open Rundown – RANsquawk

Brussels Edition Daily – BB
A Fragile Coalition

Brussels Briefing – FT
Both Merkel’s CDU and the SPD have suffered a dramatic collapse in support

Eco Day Europe – BB
Italian Discussions, U.K. Budget, Slowdown in China

FirstFT Daily Briefing – FT

WSJ Daily Economics – WSJ

Danske Daily – Danske Bank
Another poor result for Merkel's government

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler

Brussels Playbook – Politico
Merkel clings on — Stubb in Weberland — Brazil veers hard right

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day – BB

Eco Day US – BB
Record Treasury Sales, U.K. Budget, China's Growth Pain

US Open – ZH
US Futures, European Markets Jump Despite Another Chinese Rout

US Open Rundown – RANsquawk

Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Tällä viikolla tarjolla kattava paketti datajulkistuksia | Tänään julkaistaan USA:sta inflaatiolukuja, euroalueen inflaatioluvut tulossa keskiviikkona | Bolsonaro valittiin Brasilian uudeksi presidentiksi, USA:ssa pörssit laskussa perjantaina