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Monday, October 29

29th Oct - Merkel to step down

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Mark Whitehouse: Europe Is Too Exposed to Italy to Let It GoBB
French and German banks have more than $400 billion at stake and would lose big if the country left the currency union.

Merkel to Quit as Party Chief as Her Chancellorship WobblesBB
German leader suggests field of CDU contenders is wide open * Seeks to steer growing speculation about end of Merkel era

Germany’s Merkel steps down as CDU leaderFT
Chancellor says she will also leave politics after current term ends in 2021

Merkel’s role as EU power-broker hit by trouble at homeFT
German chancellor’s retreat as party chief will complicate European decision-making

Leonid Bershidsky: Merkel’s Likely Successor: Nobody in Particular BB
The German leader leaves behind a fractured political landscape.

Your Questions Answered on Merkel’s Shock Decision Not to Run Again BB

As Merkel Heads for the Exit, Here’s Who’s Lining Up to Replace Her BB
The race is on to succeed Germany’s chancellor as she prepares to leave the political stage

Germany: Political fragmentation continuesING
Two weeks after the Bavarian elections, voters in the state of Hesse confirmed the ongoing process of political fragmentation and a transition to a post-Merkel era - making German national politics even more complicated

Merkel's CDU Suffers Crushing Losses; Worst Result For SPD In 130 YearsZH

US election monitor no. 4Danske Bank
Trump proposes new tax cuts but unlikely to change momentum so close to Election Day

Forecasting the Next Recession: The Yield Curve Doesn’t LieGuggenheim
Our Recession Probability Model and Recession Dashboard continue to suggest a recession is likely to begin in early 2020. Investors ignore the yield curve’s signal at their peril.

Stocks, Yuan Tumble On Report US To Announce Tariffs On All China Imports If Trump-Xi Meeting Fails - ZH

El-Erian: Central Banks No Longer Cushion Economies and MarketsBB
Get ready for greater instability as monetary policy in the U.S. and Europe moves away from the business of suppressing volatility.

Goldman Sees Just One Hope Left For A Bounce In Stocks - ZH

EU Open RundownRANsquawk

Brussels Edition DailyBB
A Fragile Coalition

Brussels BriefingFT
Both Merkel’s CDU and the SPD have suffered a dramatic collapse in support

Eco Day EuropeBB
Italian Discussions, U.K. Budget, Slowdown in China

FirstFT Daily BriefingFT

WSJ Daily EconomicsWSJ

Danske DailyDanske Bank
Another poor result for Merkel's government

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Merkel clings on — Stubb in Weberland — Brazil veers hard right

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your DayBB

Eco Day USBB
Record Treasury Sales, U.K. Budget, China's Growth Pain

US Open ZH
US Futures, European Markets Jump Despite Another Chinese Rout

US Open RundownRANsquawk

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