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Monday, August 15

15th Aug LATER - Everybody recommends eurobonds


Summary: Stocks higher, waiting for clues on euro crisis, Google-Motorola deal, largest-ever acquisition for G. EURUSD up to near the top of its recent range.

Views: I am closing the short position on Brazil – too much of a pullback for my taste. Should’ve, would’ve, could’ve – but still +24% on the position in couple of weeks. EURUSD: sell at-the-market 1.4440, stop 1.4520, take profit on half at 1.4350.

Joke of the Day: “BERLUSCONI: -17, ZAPETERO: -13, COELHO: -15,  G-PAP: unch, LETERME: -16, SARKOSY: -2, FAYMAN: -7, CAMERON: -3, GUINNESS: -40, MERKEL: unch, TOVARISH: 186/190  -29, JASON STATHAM IN SNATCH: 236/240  -12” – Euro Sovereign CDS Update on Zero Hedge

Quote of the Day: “Hugely regressive tax system:rich pay a lower %of their income in tax than middle class due to low taxes on cap gain, divs, estates,carr int” Nouriel Roubini via Twitter
 
Happy 40th birthday, fiat money! Nixon ended the gold standard on 15th August 1971. Notice the language: Nixon says the gold standard is ended because of the evil speculators.



EURO CRISIS
George Soros: EFSF, Eurobonds and European banking authority
How to Resolve the Euro Crisis – Project Syndicate

A Eurozone Charter, a Eurobond Programme, and a Debt Restructuring Programme.

The head of Germany's leading export association urged the leaders of Germany and France to agree at a meeting in Paris on Tuesday to issue joint euro zone bonds


Morgan Stanley: banks are increasingly dependent on ECB financing
  also on the same topic:

Italy's problem is not a high budget deficit but chronically weak growth and forced austerity


Calculations on a French web site claim the leverage ratios of the big banks are very high


Thomas White International’s Economic Review July 2011


FINANCIAL CRISIS
Citi’s Schofield thinks it’s strange for markets to simultaneously price in a collapse in growth while maintaining high inflation expectations. Something’s got to give.
The price of JGB-isation – alphaville FT

“Politicians doing stuff a day late has increased markets’ worry and we’re moving from drama to trauma”, says head of World Bank


OTHER

Modern US dollar, 40th birthday


Sentiment data in real time from a dictionary analysis of tweet samples – lead time 2-4 days