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Tuesday, August 23

23rd Aug LATE - Eurobanks, gotta love'em


M/O is the demographics ratio of middle-aged/old
SUMMARY: The European interbank crisis dominates the discussion. First three Euro Crisis-links are absolutely must-reads.
 
Quote of the Day, on the possibility of FED opening massive swap lines with European central banks: “If I’m wrong, and we get nothing, the European funding markets are going to collapse next week. It will be very difficult to reverse the damage that this will cause. All the central bankers know this. They know that there is not much time left to act. They can’t wait another two weeks.” – Bruce Krasting

More old people, more sellers, less buyers
Joke of the Day (Markets are Wrong!): SocGen has set aside €170 million for Rothschild to buy and sell, to “stabilize and support” SG’s stock price: Societe Generale Signs Liquidity Contract With Rothschild - WSJ


EUROCRISIS
Article goes further to discuss implications of swap lines importance and even possibly FED’s coming actions in the area.

Slides from a recent BloombergBRIEF

"The next move by the Fed is to massively open up the dollar swap lines with European central banks”

Whether the government broke the law with last year's bailouts of debt-stricken euro zone countries.

Lines are cracking behind the bailouts:
Moody's warns bailout package for Greece could unravel over demands for loan collaterals:

Without getting growth up, the debt crisis cannot be solved.
The only way to fix the euro zone is… – The Curious Capitalist / TIME



FINANCIAL CRISIS
What the options are, what they mean and would they work

FED paper on demographics: 15 years of bear coming. Today’s graphs are from here

SG Equity Derivative’s global equity index vol report is interesting reading
Volatility – the trader


Mainland Chinese have been partly to blame on the run-up in house prices. Now they have stopped buying.

Citi: given growth expectations, stocks are globally cheap – but expectations might change


OPERATORS: MOSTLY BANK OF AMERICA

1Y CDS above 5Y CDS
Bank of America, inverted – alphaville FT









DIVERSION
The Misconception:  You celebrate diversity and respect others’ points of view. The Truth: You are driven to create and form groups and then believe others are wrong just because they are others.
The Illusion of Asymmetric Insight – You are not so smart