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Wednesday, August 17

17th Aug LATE Extra - Is Buffet a hypocrite?


EURO CRISIS
Merkel-Sarkozy Crisis Plan Shuns Steps Sought by Investors – Businessweek

Today's Best: The Policymaker’s Fear Of The Italian Penalty Shot – A Fistful of Euros

“mad but clever idea from Gary Jenkins of Evolution Securities”

Analysis of the ECB’s weekly balance sheet.


“long-term investments would not be hurt, markets moving to low cost-jurisdictions not probable”
Merkel and Sarkozy are right about a Tobin tax – The Great Debate / Reuters

Nomura, Numis Securities comment the suggested Financial Transaction Tax. Expect details after a month and implementation in 2013. Oh yeah, and it would be “customer pays”. Risk to banks: lower volumes, end of high-frequency. Of course, U.K. would not join any of that nonsense, and all continental trading would simply move to London.
The Tobin Tax lives on – alphaville FT

Credit Suisse notes a recent modification in EFSF’s website that it can refund even before a euro member has submitted a support request.
Pre-funding the EFSF – alphaville FT

ECB is trying so hard to be credible and tough that everybody thinks they are mad
Especially crummy bank – Free exchange The Economist


FINANCIAL CRISIS

Competitiveness problems require deflation, which makes debt problems worse. Having your own currency helps. Debt vigilantes are not after countries with their own sovereign currencies (U.S., Japan)
The Printing Press Mystery – Krugman / NYT


ZH’s take on the ECB’s liquidity provision to a bank. French? Italian?


OTHER
Empires have fallen from a position of perceived strength

Long and refreshing reading.

Warren Buffet’s hour-long interview on 16th after his “stop coddling the super-rich” Op-Ed. Main points: USA cannot go bankrupt, possibly high inflation, deficit is stimulus, rich need to pay more taxes, economy will avoid double dip, big problem in US is housing.
(youtube) Charlie Rose - An Hour with Warren Buffett – found on Pragmatic Capitalism

He’s a total BS guy,” says one. “He never pays tax because he never sells.” The manager notes that Buffett has agreed to leave his entire fortune to his foundation when he dies; this will result in no estate taxes being paid. “He’s not even charitable to our country,” the manager adds.

“Current quarter earnings estimates are gamed and 12-month forward earnings estimates are getting worse over time.  Use them in valuation estimates of the market at your peril.”