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Sunday, September 4

4th Sep Weekender

Feta topping
Summary: Greece is bust. Global economy is in recession. Wikileaks released a massive collection of documents that are embarrassing or incriminating to probably everyone. In U.S. banks are getting screwed by the government. It is going to be an interesting week to say the least. I just put a Calendar page online. The weekend’s links concentrate on the euro situation and also the U.S. announcement to sue the banks on the mortgage scandal. On Friday I posted a "fiction" piece part 1 on the Asian crisis.

Quote of the day: “Well, thank you very much indeed.” – Also Sprach Analyst on the European crisis

EFSF, Greek bailout, more later. Not all will pass.


EURO CRISIS

Good roundup from Friday.
“The situation can only get worse, since nobody's interests align.”

IMF, commission and ECB clash with Athens on budget-gap fix, IMF: “I expect a hard default definitely before March, maybe this year, and it could come with this program review. The chances for a second program are slim.”

Lindner: “This is not about non-binding statements of intent, but contractually secured reciprocity for the emergency loans.” Solms: “It should be considered whether a restructuring and exit from the euro would offer better perspectives for the currency union and Greece itself.”

“If we have a euro bond where Germany guarantees 27 percent, France 20 and Greece 2 percent then the rating of the euro bond would be CC, which is the rating of Greece.”


Bank run: “European banks are shifting their cash assets out of European banks and putting much of them into US banks.” Good charts


From this week’s The Economist:
The situation is bad everywhere, but in Europe it is worst: confusion on what is wanted, how to do it and how to make everyone agree on it: The world economy: Mountains to climb
“Banks in Greece are banding together. Even that may not save them” : Greek banks: Dance of the dead
“The EU’s currency crisis takes its toll on the ruling coalition”: Germany: Angst over the euro
“Could Italy sink the euro?” : Italy: Trashing the lifeboat
“The debt crisis is exposing problems in the basic design of the European Union” : The end of Monnet

FINANCIAL CRISIS
If you take out the richest 1% of the population, the rest has not gotten ahead much compared to many other developed countries during the past 30 years.

Traditional venues favored to minimize risk

Mortgage scandal and law suits








CHINA
“Chinese companies, like companies everywhere, do best when they are privately run. In China, however, the state is never far away”

45 minute video lecture by John Garnaut & US-China Institute

OTHER
Is peak oil real? – Pragmatic Capitalism 

John Mauldin’s Outside the Box features an article from Wells Fargo’s chief economist


DIVERSION
Great wallpaper material from St. Louis Fed

Ok collection of 11 links to articles on psychology and neurology, some related to trading. The rest of the site is also worth  a look.
ShrinkyLinks - Attitrade

Why the Impossible Happens More Often – The Technium / kk.org




“The risk business can tell us a lot about catastrophes. Why don't we listen?”