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Friday, September 9

9th Sep Late - Greece finally bust?

Summary: Greece is widely rumored to go bust this weekend. Unless G7 can come up with something, which is highly unlikely, Greece will probably be sacrificed, but the real question is will the rot stop there. Probably a full-blown banking crisis in core and periphery and further damage in the rest of the PIIGS-countries would follow.

SocGen speculates that aggressive money printing via debt monetization by ECB would be next step, as that would solve the immediate problems. Can they change ECB mandate that quickly? Basically this is the reason for the euro’s sell-off during the last two days. First euro crisis links are must-reads, and there are some interesting links to recent research. 9/11-links and crisis-calendar updated.Follow me on Twitter!

Quote of the day: “Because after the FX wars come the trade wars, and after the trade wars come the shooting wars.” – Tyler Durden on Zero Hedge

SocGen suspects money printing is the next step

Link to couple of days old research piece “Concerted Easing?`” from Morgan Stanley

** Euro Crashing: Greek Default To Come? – Also Sprach Analyst



All Is Up To the Greeks Now – The Source WSJ





Extortion and prostitutes


OTHER
He wants to be the Peter Lynch of hedge funds

The Swiss take fright at the strength of their currency—and set an unfortunate example

Intro and link to U.K. Government Office of Science’s working paper


** Momentum – SSRN

STRR is pervasive and much greater than previously documented, provides alpha  and driven by sentiment on short side and liquidity shocks on long side

Banks were happy to pay premium to pass the TBTF-threshold, and nonbanks to become part of TBTF banks, extending TBTF subsidy beyond banks.


DIVERSION

Great photos.
Portraits of Workspaces – brain pickings
http://www.brainpickings.org/index.php/2011/09/09/portraits-of-workspaces/


Readers have never had it so good. But publishers need to adapt better to the digital world