Source: Zero Hedge |
Summary: German court decision ok’d everything, with reservations though. Greek 1-year bond yields are almost at 100%, so something has to give soon. Finland's prime minister just announced that if there is no collateral, Finland might not participate in Greek bailout. At the moment it looks questionable will there even be another bailout, but I stick to my earlier point of view that the Finnish pols will not eat their election promises of "no collaterals, no further bailouts".
Ok links today, stock market links were all great, Swiss Franc has a lot of material and the first Euro Crisis link is an interesting take. Deutsche Bank released a HFT-related piece, filed under Other.
Views: EURUSD still at the bottom of the range, no positions at the moment. If the action looks ok, possible longs tomorrow morning. Perhaps I'll just tweet, the tweets show up on the right hand side of this page. Or you can Follow me on Twitter!
Stock markets look like flag formations technically and suggest further waterfall ahead. Just look what the market did twice in 2008: link to chart
Stock markets look like flag formations technically and suggest further waterfall ahead. Just look what the market did twice in 2008: link to chart
EURO CRISIS
The ECB data do not support the view that European banks are moving cash assets out of Europe and into the U.S.: it the Fed's QE2, that's all – News N Economics
Leaving Euro Zone Isn’t Impossible – The Source WSJ
GERMANY
And we cross to Karlsruhe – alphaville FT
German court: Parliament must not be sidelined in future bail-outs – euobserver.com
Court Gives Merkel the ‘Alles Klar’ Over Bailouts, for Now – The Source WSJ
Germany’s high court decision changes nothing – Pragmatic Capitalism
Merkel says eurobonds will lead to a 'debt union' – euobserver.com
Merkel outlines steps to 'stability union' – euobserver.com
(Another) German Currency Blooper – The Source WSJ
FINANCIAL CRISIS
Shadow banking system forming in China?
Some financial innovations that aren't going to end well – Humble Student of The Markets
Bond prices in developed countries are not scared of inflation or defaults – they are scared of no growth and no inflation.
Martin Wolf gets it right – Pragmatic Capitalism
Banks Took $6B in Reinsurance Kickbacks, Investigators Say – American Banker
SWISS FRANC
They have tried this before, will it work now? Comments from Rabobank, Barclays, SG
What will Switzerland do with all those euros? – alphaville FT
Thoughts from a FX veteran
Does the Swiss Franc Collapse Signal “RISK ON”? – Zero Hedge
The impact of Switzerland’s dramatic action – Gavyn Davies FT
Funny SNB’s Ark – Macro Man
The SNB’s gift to CEE banks – beyondbrics FT
The Fed Gets Schooled Again on Central Banking: the Swiss National Bank Edition – Macro and other Market Musings
STOCK MARKETS
Few slides from SG: historical corporate profits 1969+ and analyst optimism 1997+
Profit Margins, Corporate Bonds, and Analyst Optimism - HistorySquared
Recessions: Historical Earnings Forecast Errors – The Big Picture
OTHER
Summary and link to Deutsche Bank’s research piece on high-frequency trading
HFT – the trader
Crude on the Wide - Why? – Bruce Krasting