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Wednesday, May 22

22nd May - Quiet #4095



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EUROPE
Rising downside risks to euro area growth – Pictet
A potential improvement in euro area growth in H2 2019 on the back of a revival in the global economy is in jeopardy due to the intensifying trade dispute between the US and China.

Five Charts Show the Big Problems for German Banks – BB
Deutsche Bank isn’t the only lender struggling to make money * Many of the country’s banks don’t cover their cost of capital

Leonid Bershidsky: Does Europe Face a Right-Wing Surge? – BB
Populists, nationalists and eurosceptics look set to do only marginally better in this week’s European election than in 2014.


OTHER
Global Value Chains, And Who Is Most Exposed – ZH
Current US-China trade war forces a reassessment of global value chains? Tech as an industry and the US, China and Germany have the most exposure.

The Huawei Ban Is Worth the Pain – BB
The national security issues raised by the company’s technology transcend any trade dispute.

China Offers Tech Companies Five-Year Tax Break To Offset Tariffs – ZH

Mnuchin says more U.S. tariffs on China at least a month away – Reuters
US is at least a month from enacting its proposed tariffs on $300 billion in Chinese imports as it studies the impact on consumers.


REGULARS
Five Things to Start Your Day Asia – BB
Trump’s Huawei Hold Off * Stocks Bounce Back * May’s Brexit Gamble * Modi’s Reform Failings

Eco Day Asia – BB
Fed's Other ‘QE’, Yuan's Risky Behavior, Japan Exports * U.S. central bank may have ‘slightly overdone’ hike: Bullard * India’s economy showed nascent signs of a recovery in April

Five Things to Start Your Day Europe – BB
May’s Last Stand * Huawei Tensions * Fed Patience * Currency Plays

EU Open Rundown – RANsquawk

FirstFT Daily Briefing – FT

Brussels Briefing – FT
France’s choice in the European elections: Emmanuel Macron leads a last-minute push to deprive Marine Le Pen of electoral victory

Brussels Edition – BB

Brussels Playbook – Politico
Going postal — Smashing corruption — Electoral eccentricity

Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Eco Day Europe – BB
Fed Minutes, Bullard, U.S. Widens China Tech Blacklist * U.S. central bank may have ‘slightly overdone’ hike: Bullard * India’s economy showed nascent signs of a recovery in April

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
A nervous calm in the capital markets.

Five Things to Start Your Day US – BB
More tech bans * May’s May mayday * Minutes * Markets quiet * Retailer pain

US Open Rundown – RANsquawk

US Open – ZH
Futures Slides As Trade Tensions Escalate

Eco Day US – BB
Fed Minutes, Bullard on December Hike, Draghi Warning * Account of Fed meeting may gives clues on rate-cut debate * Bullard says hike in December may have slightly overdone it


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Mayn uusin ehdotus ammuttiin alas, ja punta jatkaa laskuaan | Ison-Britannian inflaatioluvut julkaistaan tänään | Australian keskuspankki viesti koronlaskun olevan pöydällä kesäkuun kokouksessa ensimmäistä kertaa kolmeen vuoteen