Google Analytics

Saturday, May 4

3rd May - US jobs "goldilocks" #4079


EUROPE
Europe’s Economy Rekindles Growth That Still Lacks ConfidenceBB
Region begins May with a skip as GDP, inflation outperform * Buoyant company earnings provide matching picture of health

A renewed spring in Europe's stepBlackRock
We expect Europe to shake off its current soft patch later this year, getting a boost from China’s stimulus efforts and any resulting rebound in global manufacturing. If the global growth backdrop improves and one-off setbacks subside, solid domestic demand should drive the recovery.

Draghi’s Successor as ECB President Won’t Be Like Mark CarneyBB
Benefits of appointing an outsider unlikely to sway EU leaders * Political reality means Irish, U.K. examples won’t be followed

Euro area inflation watch: Temporary Easter spike Nordea
Euro area core inflation temporarily accelerated to 1.2% in April. In May, we expect inflation to slow-down again to its pre-Easter levels, as the uptick last month can be mostly ascribed to Easter effects.

Euro-Area Inflation Accelerates After String of Upbeat DataBB
Headline inflation rate rises 1.7% in April, beating estimate * Core measure of prices quickens to 1.2%, strongest in 6 months


UNITED STATES
Fed 'insurance' rate cut not likely soon as economy hums along Reuters
Fed chair Powell was criticized by analysts and investors this week when he seemed to set aside concerns about weak U.S. inflation, repeatedly describing its recent decline as temporary and dimming market expectations of an interest rate cut.

  PAYROLLS
U.S. job growth surges; unemployment rate drops to 3.6 % - Reuters
U.S. Jobs Top Forecast at 263,000 Gain; Wages Miss Estimates – BB
Robust payrolls; a “soft” decline in unemployment; moderate wage growth – Daiwa
Jobs Smash Expectations, Soar By 263K, But Wage Growth Muted – ZH
"One-Offs" Pump-Up Payrolls As Supply-Chain Hiring Grinds To A Halt – ZH
Hiring Picks Up, Unemployment Drops Down – WSJ
Dark Linings in a Sunny Jobs Report – BB
Booming jobs market argues against rate cuts – ING
Labour Market says Powell was right – Nordea


OTHER
The Belt and Road is about domestic interest groups, not developmentAndrew Batson


REGULARS
Five Things to Start Your Day AsiaBB

Eco Day AsiaBB
U.S. Jobs Data, Trump's Fed Losing Streak, ECB Optimism * Even Hollywood knows happy ending to China talks no guarantee * ‘T’ is for ‘transitory,’ not ‘Trump,’ as Fed manages to excite

Five Things to Start Your Day EuropeBB

EU Open RundownRANsquawk

FirstFT Daily BriefingFT

Brussels BriefingFT
Spitzen Skirmish: Candidates cross verbal swords on everything from environmental taxes to European armies

Brussels EditionBB

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Florence fight club — Central battlegrounds — Inside Sánchez’s war room

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Eco Day EuropeBB
U.S. Jobs Day, ECB Insider Pick, White House Fed Fumble * European Central Bank will probably look internally for chief * Fed watchers mull White House vetting process amid fourth miss

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
Ahead of US Jobs Report, the Greenback Remains Firm

Five Things to Start Your Day USBB

US Open RundownRANsquawk

US OpenZH
Global Markets, S&P Futures A Sea Of Green Ahead Of Payrolls

Eco Day USBB
U.S. Jobs Day, Euro-Area Inflation, ECB Succession * Payroll report may see boost from temporary census hiring * Price growth in eurozone picks up after week of upbeat data


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus Nordea
USA:n työmarkkinaluvut ovat tänään markkinoiden huomion keskipisteessä | Euroalueen inflaation odotetaan nousseen huhtikuussa | Ison-Britannian keskuspankki piti korkonsa paikoillaan