Google Analytics

Wednesday, May 29

29th May - Pessimistic markets #4101


I'm on Twitter.



EUROPE
Germany’s unemployment rate rises for first time since 2013 FT
Number of jobless Germans climbs most in a decade

EU leaders agree to pick new 'Mr or Ms Europe' next month Reuters

EU fires first shot in possible new clash over Italy debtReuters
EU Confirms Italy Risks Massive Fine Over DebtZH

  EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
Negative ECB rates are a boon for euro zone banks, says de GuindosReuters
Super low rates are a boon for banks rather than a hindrance, ECB Vice President de Guindos said, setting the tone for a debate on whether lenders should be compensated.

Rehn says ECB ready to react if slowdown persistsReuters

Financial Stability Review, May 2019ECB

Economic shocks and contagion in the euro area banking sectorECB
The system could be more vulnerable to financial contagion through long-term interbank exposures than noted in other studies. That said, common exposures to the real economy – a standard contagion channel in the literature – represent a potential source of individual bank distress and non-systemic events.

Macroprudential space and current policy trade-offs in the euro areaECB
barring a severe economic downturn, even under a scenario of moderate economic growth a gradual build-up of cyclically adjustable buffers could be considered to help create the necessary macroprudential space and to reduce the procyclicality of the financial system in an economic and financial downturn.


UNITED STATES
Mueller says he could not charge Trump as Congress weighs impeachmentReuters
Mueller said his investigation into Russia's interference in the 2016 election was never going to end with criminal charges against Trump and indicated it was up to Congress to decide if it should impeach Trump.

Mueller says charging Trump was ‘not an option’
FT
Special counsel signals Congress has responsibility for holding president to account

Mueller Has a Parting Gift for Trump: No More SurprisesBB
The special counsel has nothing more to say, which is a promise or a threat, depending on your view of the president.

Mueller’s Remarks Put the Onus on Congress. So What Next?BB
Lawmakers have a responsibility to act on the special counsel’s evidence of foreign interference in the 2016 election. Impeachment isn't the only option.


US Threatens Europe With "Loss Of Access To US Financial System" Over SWIFT-Evading Iran SPVZH


OTHER
Climate change and financial stability ECB

Martin Wolf: States create useful money, but abuse itFT
To the extent modern monetary theory is true, it is unoriginal; to the extent it is original, it is false

Morgan Stanley on yield curve collapse: much worse than you thinkZH


REGULARS
Five Things to Start Your Day AsiaBB
China Avoids Currency Manipulator Label * Trade Angst Spreads * Singapore Leapfrogs Hong Kong, U.S * Amazon’s Mom & Pop Purge * Succession in Shambles

Eco Day AsiaBB
China Dodges FX Tag, Sentiment Slumps, RBA Seen at 0.5% * New Zealand budget in disarray as hackers raid Treasury system * Canadian insiders see BOE’s Carney as Justin Trudeau successor

Five Things to Start Your Day EuropeBB
Down Again * Euro Zone Confusion * Face Off * Dollar’s Run

EU Open RundownRANsquawk

FirstFT Daily BriefingFT

Brussels BriefingFT
Who’s up and who’s down in the EU top jobs race: EU leaders emerge from post-election summit with no certainty over who will prevail

Brussels EditionBB

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Summit to talk about — The Spitz is alive — Merkel stands by Weber

Danske DailyDanske Bank
US curve flattens again and the recession fear is once again out of the bottle

Eco Day EuropeBB
China Dodges FX Tag, Fed Departures, RBA Seen at 0.5% * Treasury expands currency watchlist to nine, from six nations * China’s economy weakened in May amid renewed trade woes

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
Equity Slump Deepens while Yields Plunge

Five Things to Start Your Day US BB

US Open RundownRANsquawk

US OpenZH
Markets Tumble, S&P Below 2,800, Bond Yields Crater As Traders Brace For Impact

Eco Day USBB
China Dodges Currency Tag, Canada Decision, USMCA Trip * Treasury expands foreign-exchange watchlist to nine nations * China gears up to weaponize rare earths in its trade war


FINNISH
AamukatsausNordea
Suomen ensimmäisen neljänneksen kasvuluvut olivat pettymys, myös Ruotsin BKT-luvut julkaistaan tänään | USA:ssa ja euroalueella kuluttajien luottamus oli nousussa toukokuussa | Kauppasotauhitteluun jälleen lisää kierroksia