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Thursday, May 9

9th May - Thawing trade tensions? #4084




EUROPE
Germany: Time to turn more optimistic?ING
Strong industrial production data confirms our view of a positive surprise in next week's GDP data

Divided Europe: As some regions thrive, others may never recoverING
More than 10 years on from the financial crisis, regional labour markets across Europe continue to feel the impact. Will the next decade be any different?

Macron unveils plan for EuropePolitico
Renaissance platform calls for empowering the European Parliament and attaching conditions to EU funds.

Euro is new bogeyman for Poland’s ruling party FT
Law and Justice uses misgivings over single currency to appeal to Eurosceptic voters

Italy Limbers Up for Its Next Big Fight With BrusselsBB
The European Commission’s deficit estimates paint an ugly picture. Another clash between Rome and Brussels is inevitable.


OTHER
Shang-Jin Wei: The Case for Climate Tariffs Project Syndicate
Because the United States is the world’s biggest economy, most countries have to accommodate America’s trade demands in some way. In a similar vein, a future US government could use import tariffs, or the threat of them, to push other countries to reduce their carbon dioxide emissions more sharply.

China: Why imports outperformed exports ING
Exports contracted 2.7% year-on-year in April while imports enjoyed a rise of 4.0% YoY. These numbers reflect the negative outlook for smart devices and automobile sales globally, and at the same show that China is importing more crude oil for domestic use

China: Loan growth poised to pick upING
China's April credit data matched the smooth progress of trade talks last month. But as the trade tension increases, we expect faster loan growth to return

The Dollar Dictates China’s Need for a Trade Deal
BB
The country's exploding foreign debt means it has to keep hard currency coming in.

The U.S. and China Are Living in Different Universes
BB
After all the talking, there’s still a huge gap in perceptions. That says as much about the countries' leaders as it does about the state of diplomacy.

Trump Says China ‘Broke the Deal’ in Trade Talks With U.S.BB
Mnuchin said to be criticized in heated White House debate * Chinese delegation en route for talks Thursday in Washington

China Threatens Retaliation as Trump Touts Chances of Deal
BB
President says he’s been told China wants to make a deal * China warns it’ll retaliate when U.S. hikes tariffs on Friday

US-China trade war leaves global economy counting cost FT
American consumers, Asian exporters and business investment are most vulnerable


REGULARS
Five Things to Start Your Day Asia BB

Eco Day AsiaBB
China Retaliation Risk, Fed Rate Review, Mahathir Fail * Indians are addicted to cheap coal power and it’s killing them * After six leaders in 12 years, Australia is set to end turmoil

Five Things to Start Your Day EuropeBB

EU Open RundownRANsquawk

FirstFT Daily Briefing FT

Brussels BriefingFT
Picking the next European Commission president: Past episodes can offer some insights

Brussels EditionBB

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
See you in Sibiu — Bratislava report card — Election mood music

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Eco Day EuropeBB
Broken Trade Talks, Rajan's BOE Job Odds, Norway Rates * Fed’s Brainad wants to hear more about targeting yield curve * President Trump blames Beijing during Florida campaign rally

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
De-Risking as US-China Trade Talks Resume

Five Things to Start Your Day USBB

US Open RundownRANsquawk

US OpenZH
S&P Futures Tumble, Chinese Stocks Plunge As Tariffs Loom

Eco Day USBB
Fed’s Human Basics, Trump Says Deal Broken, BOE Race * Clothing, shelter costs to play key role in U.S. CPI data * Trump says China ‘broke’ deal as Liu heads to Washington


FINNISH
AamukatsausNordea
Kauppasodan uhka kasvaa | Norjan keskuspankki kokoustaa tänään | Saksan teollisuus osoitti sinnikkyyttä maaliskuussa

Vakausarvio
Suomen Pankki
Velat mitoitettava takaisinmaksukyvyn mukaan

Kommentteja erääseen eurovaaliohjelmaanPeter Nyberg