Google Analytics

Sunday, October 12

10th Oct - Weak oil, softer Fed, German Europe

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

Follow ‘MoreLiver’ on Twitter

The eurozone’s low inflation problemFT

Finance Ministry: Don’t Expect More Reforms From Modi Just YetWSJ

Greek Confidence Vote is No Game ChangerMarc to Market

Draghi Clashes With Schaeuble Over Steps for EuropeBB
Draghi pledged anew to loosen monetary policy more if needed and called on those governments with the room to ease fiscal policy to do so. By contrast, Schaeuble warned against U.S.-style quantitative easing and urged continued budgetary discipline.

ECB to disclose final results of comprehensive assessment ECB
Comprehensive assessment results to be published on 26 October 2014, at 12 noon CET.

When Will the FOMC Tighten the Fed Funds Rate?Aleph blog
It is more likely that the FOMC moves later than the third quarter of 2015 versus earlier than then.  The FOMC has been slow to remove policy accommodation; it is more likely that they will remain slow given present economic conditions.

Daily Central BanksWSJ
Douglas’s Take: Markets Push BOE Hike out to Summer 2015 * ECB’s Draghi Pledges Inflation Boost * Fed’s Fischer Says Central Bank Will Watch Dollar for Impact on Demand  *BOJ Member Warned of Possible Negative Effects of Additional Stimulus * India’s Central Banker Highlights Inflation Progress

Daily MacroWSJ
If global aggregate demand isn’t strong enough, there is only so much future growth that companies can project, and their share price multiples can only go so high. No doubt, people are looking for a bottom, and an argument can be made that conditions are still supportive of stocks, but this disconnect between economic reality and expensive prices is at least finally being noted.

Dollar Firms, but Focus is on Equity and Oil MeltdownMarc to Market

Monthly Oil Market ReportOPEC

OPEC Cuts Demand Outlook by Most in 3 Years on U.S. ShaleBB

Macro Digest: The mood soursTradingFloor
Steen Jakobsen: Excessively low inflation problematic for risk assets * ECB, BoJ & Fed showing different degrees of ineptitude * Yellen is much more dovish than folk realise

Schaeuble, Summers Debate the Psychology of Economic ReformWSJ

HS-Gallup: Hallitukseen luottaa 45 prosenttiaVerkkouutiset

Teollisuuden uudet tilaukset elok. +4,5% YoY – Tilastokeskus
Teollisuustuotanto elok. -3,5% YoY – Tilastokeskus
Teollisuuden toimialoilla -76.300 työpaikkaa vuosina 2007–2012 – Tilastokeskus
Palkkasumma kesä-elok. +0,7% YoY – Tilastokeskus