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Friday, April 12

12th Apr - EU Open



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Roundups
News roundup – Between The Hedges
The 6am Cut London – alphaville / FT
Emerging Markets Headlines – beyondbrics / FT

MORNING BRIEFINGS
3 Numbers to Watch: EZ Ind. Prod, US Retail Sales & Cons. Sent.TradingFloor
US retail sales are expected to be flat in March, but will consumer sentiment for April promise better times ahead?

Market Preview: EU finance ministers meet, US retail sales eyedTradingFloor
European markets are expected to open lower Friday. Traders are keeping an eye on the two-day Euro zone finance ministers meeting starting today. Additionally, Euro zone industrial production and US retail sales data will garner market attention.

Danske DailyDanske Bank (pdf)
Stakes are rising in Korea conflict as Pentagon warns on nuclear missile capabilities. Bank of Japan’s Kuroda stresses inflation target to be handled flexibly. International Energy Agency revises down oil demand projections. Market movers today: EUR: industrial prod (11:00 CET) USD:retail sales (14:30 CET) USD: University of Michigan consumer confidence (15:55 CET) EUR: Eurogroup meeting USD: Fed speeches (Rosengren, Bernanke), US earnings reports

AamukatsausNordea (pdf)
Näe ja koe uudistunut Aamukatsaus maanantaina! * Portugalille ja Irlannille helpotusta tukilainojen ehtoihin? * EURUSD nousi osakemarkkinoiden vanavedessä

Aamukatsaus Tapiola (pdf)
USA:n viikoittaisten työttömyyshakemusten kääntyminen jälleen lasku-uralle nosti eilen osakemarkkinoita. Tänään julkaistaan USA:n maaliskuun vähittäismyynnin ennakko. Osinkoja irti osakkeesta tänään: Elektrobit EUR 0.01, Nokian Renkaat EUR 1.45. Osakefutuurit miinuksella, ennakoiden laskuavausta pörssiin. Markkinaindikaattoreita eurokriisin seurantaan: Euroriskit jatkaneet laskuaan Italian ja Kyproksen riskien jälkeenkin.

MarkkinakalenteriNordnet
MarkkinakalenteriTaloussanomat



EUROPE
‘Nobody in Europe’ Sees a ‘Contradiction’ Between Austerity and GrowthNew Economic Perspectives
Economists have known for at least 75 years that austerity is likely to make economic contractions more severe.  The eurozone’s infliction of austerity has produced precisely the self-inflicted damage that economists predicted.  The European leaders who caused this wholly gratuitous economic disaster, unsurprisingly, will not admit or remedy their errors.

New Drive for Tougher Testing of European BanksWSJ
 “We’ve been stuck in this rubbish for five years, because we’ve been doing everything to prevent the banks from being recapitalized properly and the stress tests from being stringent enough,” one official said. “If we don’t do this, we will stay in this trap until 2020.”

Buiter’s manifesto on a new eurozone world order, post-CyprusEuromoney
Citi chief economist Willem Buiter sketches the new face of creditor rights in the eurozone, reveals the hole in the heart of the EU's crisis resolution plans, and forecasts more debt restructuring in Cyprus.

Cameron meets Merkel to discuss EU powerseuobserver
British Prime Minister David Cameron is travelling to Germany for a family weekend at Angela Merkel's holiday retreat, where he will try to convince the Chancellor to back him on re-evaluating EU's powers.

Germany must share some of the blame for the persistence of the economic crisis in SpainEuropp / LSE

FT podcast: World Weekly with Gideon RachmanThe World / FT
Pedro Passos Coelho, Portugal’s prime minister, is one of Europe’s staunchest backers of austerity. But his government’s painful two-year programme of structural adjustment has yet to deliver the results promised. And late last week, the country’s constitutional court issued a ruling that could fatally undermine his efforts to get the economy back on track.

ASIA
The challenges for China’s new leadershipmpettis

N. Korea Crisis: A View From TokyoThe Diplomat
With a host of domestic challenges like a stagnant economy and its own homegrown nuclear problems, Japan has taken a cautious yet steady approach when it comes to North Korea.

Japanese Bond Implied Volatility Spikes To 10Y High; Stocks Drop First Day In Last 8ZH

OTHER
The mystery of stable pricesFree exchange / The Economist
The question is: if unemployment and disinflation typically go together, and if central banks effectively prevented disinflation, then why is there still so much unemployment?

Weekend Reads for Financial Advisors CFA Institute
Brains, Behavioral Biases, and Bitcoins (and Taxes)

IN FINNISH
Vähittäiskaupan myynti kasvoi helmikuussa 0,5 prosenttia YoY
Tilastokeskus

Rakennusyritysten liikevaihto väheni marras-tammikuussa yli 3 prosenttia YoY – Tilastokeskus