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Monday, April 22

22nd Apr - EU Open



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Roundups
News roundup – Between The Hedges
The 6am Cut London – alphaville / FT
Emerging Markets Headlines – beyondbrics / FT


MORNING BRIEFINGS
3 Numbers to Watch: US CFNAI & home sales, EU consumer confidenceTradingFloor
The US economy is expected to show broad signs of modest growth in today’s March update of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index. Later brings word on the flash update on Eurozone consumer confidence and last month’s US existing home sales.

Market Preview: Fitch clips UK rating; EU consumer confidence dueTradingFloor
European markets are likely to open higher Monday. Markets are keeping an eye on EU consumer confidence and US existing home sales data slated later today. Meanwhile, Fitch has lowered its credit rating on the UK by one notch to AA+.

Danske DailyDanske Bank (pdf)
The Italian parliament has re-elected Giorgio Napolitano as Italian President. Italian Democratic Party leader Per Luigi Bersani resigned afterwards. Fitch has stripped the United Kingdom of its AAA rating. Euro group president Dijsselbloem has said that pace of deficit reduction will slow.

AamukatsausNordea(pdf)
Koronlaskusta tasapainoa EKP:n setelisilppurille? * Ostopäällikköindekseistä rohkaisua synkkien talouslukujen jälkeen? * Fitch laski Ison-Britannian luottoluokitusta

AamukatsausTapiola (pdf)


Osakemarkkinoiden edellisviikon lasku pysähtyi perjantaina, tuloskauden edettyä odotetusti. G20 -maat eivät viikonloppuna vastustaneet elvyttävää rahapolitiikkaa, jeni jatkoi laskuaan. Edessä vauhdikas viikko, kun tuloskausi on Helsingin pörssissä täydessä vauhdissa ja maailmalta julkaistaan painavaa makrodataa. Osakefutuurit ylös, ennakoiden nousuavausta pörssiin. Osakkeen beta ja kurssimuutos:Ostopaikkoja avautunut ylireagoineisiin yhtiöihin.


MarkkinakalenteriNordnet
MarkkinakalenteriTaloussanomat



EUROPE
No light at end of tunnel yet for euro zoneReuters
An early peek this week at how the euro zone economy performed in April could cement the case for the next installment in an unprecedented campaign of monetary easing by the world's major central banks.

Netherlands on Edge of Economic Crisis; Unemployment Surges as Home Prices CollapseMish’s

UNITED STATES
Monetary Policy and Financial StabilityTim Duy’s Fed Watch
If Kocherlakota is correct and monetary policy can only pursue the dual mandate in the context of financial - and, by extension - macroeconomic instability, then we really need to consider which part of the dual mandate needs to be loosened to reduce the reliance on financial instability.  My fear is that if Fed policy makers were asked this question, they would unanimously answer that it is the full-employment portion of the mandate that should be jettisoned.

Data shift to lift US economy by 3% - FT
The US economy will officially become 3 per cent bigger in July as part of a shake-up that will for the first time see government statistics take into account 21st century components such as film royalties and spending on research and development.

Ben Bernanke To Miss Jackson Hole Symposium Due To "Scheduling Conflict"ZH
Is this the sign Bernanke is handing over the suitcase with the printer launch codes to some yet unspecified, second in command?

OTHER
Naked CDS ban fuels bank funding fearsFT
Investors are buying protection on European banks on the basis that banks and sovereigns are so intimately linked that any increased risk of a sovereign default will increase the value of a bank CDS in a similar way to a sovereign CDS. “The big downside of the ban is that it is likely to increase borrowing costs for financials,” said Michael Hampden-Turner, Citigroup credit strategist.

Five Shocks Push Investors Off BalanceMarc to Market

Daily Notes: Gold Valuation, Inflation ExpectationsShort Side of the Long

So Who Sold All That Gold? - JPM's Own VersionZH