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Wednesday, December 9

9th Dec - Politicals

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Nicolas Sarkozy’s National Front dilemmaPolitico
Whether he goes harder to the right or more to the center, the former president will have a tough time gaining ground.

France fears Brexit debate will boost Le PenPolitico
David Cameron wants benefit restrictions and an end to ‘ever closer union.’ So does the National Front

Euro area: investment to contribute to a more sustainable recovery in 2016Pictet

Addressing Economic Populism in EuropeCFR
Stability bonds for the Eurozonevox

The Future's so Bright...Bill Mc Bride

What Should You Expect After Flat Years in US Markets ?Big Picture

Labour markets finally gotten close to where Yellen wants themWSJ

Fed's theoretical thinking & importance of neutral real interest rateDanske Bank

Shocked in 2016FT
Analysts React to Oil’s Fall: Current Prices ‘Fundamentally Unsustainable’ - WSJ
New Economic OutlookNordea
New outlook for the Nordics * Challenges for the global economy * Impact of the refugee influx in Europe * Outlook for the oil price * How the German economy is coping with slowing world trade

Morning MoneyBeat AsiaWSJ
U.S. Stocks Falter Again as Oil Slumps

Morning MoneyBeat EuropeWSJ
Commodities Weigh on Stocks

Morning MoneyBeat USWSJ
With Oil Sliding, Stocks Come Under Pressure

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Euro rates updateNordea

Bond yields and equities lower, EUR up * Nordea Economic Outlook out today at 9 CET * Long yields plummet on El Niño and abandoned OPEC targets * NOK takes a beating with NOK/SEK at 23-year low

Morning MarketsTF
The collapse in commodity prices continues with Brent crude leading the charge with a landmark dip below $40/barrel – the lowest level seen since 2009. The weakness in oil combined with US rate hike plans and last night's ultra-dovish Bank of Canada statement spells trouble for the loonie.

Daily FX CommentMarc Chandler
Dollar Bloc Remains Soft, but Euro, Sterling and Yen Firm

Daily ShotTF
Things got exciting in the financial markets when Brent crude futures dropped below $40/barrel for the first time since early 2009. Energy-related currencies have been beaten and oil is now the key driver behind high-yield bond credit and equity markets.

Daily Press SummaryOpen Europe
EU considering emergency brake for EU migration to the UK * Schäuble: Germany ready to take Eurozone joint deposit guarantee scheme to court * Sarkozy: Voting Front National “is not immoral” or “anti-republican” * Ten states reach outline agreement on financial transactions tax as Osborne warns he will take it to court if it impacts the UK * Brussels plans visa-free travel for Ukraine and Georgia from 2016 * German Cabinet agrees ‘aslyum ID’ as AfD polling on 16% in East Germany

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
The copyright stuff — Brexit and Le Pen — Europe by numbers

Global Stocks Slump As Mining Rout Accelerates, Concerns Grow About Chinese "Stealth Devaluation"


FX UpdateTF
A risk-off tone across markets together with the rout in key commodity prices has the euro back on the bid and the single currency has been joined by the usual suspect in times of turmoil: a stronger yen. Tonight we should see a strong reaction to the RBNZ meeting as the market is near evenly divided on the prospects for a rate cut.

From the FloorTF
Brent may have forced its head back above $40/barrel but it is treading water. As for WTI the outlook is looking distinctly sticky.

OPEC pilaa Venäjän keskuspankin suunnitelmat * Nordea Economic Outlook julkaistaan tänään * Ruotsin inflaatio-odotukset valottavat rahapolitiikan suuntaa * Inflaatio kiihtyi Kiinassa

EKP ei todellakaan ollut liian löysäRoger Wessman

Economic Outlook: Sairas mies tarvitsee elintaparemontinNordea
Suomen ensi vuotta koskevan ennusteen olemme pitäneet ennallaan, kun taas vuoden 2017 kasvuarviota olemme hieman nostaneet. Talouskehityksen ero Suomen ja muun läntisen maailman välillä on hätkähdyttävä, ja se näyttää vain kasvavan.

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