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Wednesday, September 28

28th Sep - ECB research, Deutsche Bank




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EUROPE
The Euro and the Battle of Ideas review — an impasse in Europe – FT
Can the euro area reconcile its ‘French’ and ‘German’ philosophies — or must it choose between them?

  ITALY
UBS on the Italian referendum – ZH
Italy cuts growth outlook, hikes deficit, reverses debt pledge – Reuters
Renzi's reforms leave Italian economy and voters flat – Reuters

  BANKS
Bank worries weigh – ABN AMRO
EU Banking Mayhem, One Bank at a Time, then All at Once – Wolf Street
German government prepare Deutsche Bank rescue plan: Die Zeit – Reuters
German finmin says not working on rescue plan for Deutsche Bank – Reuters
The Deutsche domino – FT
Deutsche Bank: A Sinking Ship? – Frances Coppola
Merkel Fate Tied to Deutsche Bank Fortunes, Left Party Head Says – BB

  EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
First ECB Annual Research Conference – ECB
ECB Watch – Will the ECB buy equities? – ABN AMRO
Barry Eichengreen: ECB - From Problem to Solution – OpenMind
Is ECB Getting Political Too? – euinside
Could the ECB follow BoJ’s yield control approach? – FT
Draghi Vows to Keep Up Stimulus After German Parliament Grilling – BB


UNITED STATES
Why Trump thrives despite the news media’s attacks – Fabius Maximus
Noah Smith: Americans Actually Don't Hate Trade – View / BB
Martin Wolf: Under Trump, democracy would lose credibility – FT


OTHER
Bridgewater, Deutsche Bank: how much time central banks have – ZH
Global Imbalances and Currency Wars at the ZLB – ECB
Goldman Sachs: Not Even An OPEC Deal Will Stop Oil Going Lower – ZH
China Economic Outlook: No more easy growth – Nordea
Bond Market in Deepest Central Bank-Induced Slumber Since 2014 – BB

Huopainen: Donald Trump didn’t dump the peso – Mexico did – TF
Roubini: We need to return to fiscal policy – WEF
A Global Guide to Strategic-Beta Exchange-Traded Products – Morningstar
The Number of Strategic-Beta ETPs Continues to Mushroom – Morningstar
Saudi Devaluation Bets Surge, Stocks Crash, Debt Deal Falters – ZH
Citi Has One Unpleasant Chart For Anyone Thinking Of Buying Twitter – ZH


REGULARS
Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Eye-Opener – Nordea
OPEC meeting, Fedspeak, Draghi in Berlin. US Treasury 10Y yield reverses the monthly gain. Oil key for the EUR/USD – surprise from OPEC?

Morning Markets – TF
Today's US durable goods order is expected to come in short of expectations at a point when the USD is crying out for a serious directional factor. Will it be enough to move the needle?

Euro wrap-up – Daiwa

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
Dollar Mostly Firmer, but Going Nowhere Quickly

Daily Market Comment – Macro Man
Front end spread widening: not just a regulatory thing

Daily Press Summary – Open Europe
Fox hints that the UK will leave the EU customs union * Verhofstadt stresses European Parliament willing to veto Brexit deal, but says he wants an agreement which makes all sides “comfortable” * Commission to unveil new push to harmonise corporate tax in the next few weeks

Brussels Playbook – Politico
Jean-Claude hearts Martin, take 2 — Big leak forward

US Open – ZH
Futures Fail To Rebound As Deutsche Bank Tries To Comfort Markets That It Is "Fine"

Frontrunning – ZH
  
FX Update – TF
Every effort to generate directional momentum seems to be getting turned back of late with the USDCAD surge the latest move to falter after a break of key resistance. With so much at stake however we can hardly remain bogged down in a tight range forever.

From the Floor – TF
The cheer provided by the presidential debate in the US at the start of this week proved only temporary and markets have returned to a state of jittery uncertainty as they await some new source of direction. 


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Julkistalouden sopeutus on jaettu maksukyvyn mukaan * Ruotsin talous osoitti jälleen hidastumisen merkkejä * EKP ei harkinnut epätavanomaisempia rahapolitiikan keinoja * OPEC-maat kokoontuvat tänään keskustelemaan öljyntuotannon rajoittamisesta

Brysselin kone: Kenellä on valta EU:ssa? – YLE
Miten valtasuhteet EU:ssa ovat muuttuneet ja muuttumassa? Mikä on eri jäsenmaiden, komission vai europarlamentin rooli? Toteuttaako EU Saksan perässä ordoliberalistista talousoppia ja miten populistisin perustein päätöksiä EU:ssa tehdään. Haastateltavana tutkijatohtori Timo Miettinen Helsingin yliopiston Eurooppa-tutkimuksen verkostosta.

Jan Hurri: Maailman vaarallisin pankki – tätä ei voi päästää nurin – TalSa
Saksan suurin pankki Deutsche Bank on IMF:n mukaan maailman suurin finanssiriskin lähde. Nyt se on pahemmassa kuin pinteessä, mutta myös liian suuri ja liian vaarallinen kaatumaan. Mutta kuka estää?