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Saturday, April 18

18th Apr - W/E: Weekly Support

Here are the links to the weekly roundups, reviews and also previews of the beginning week. Last week's 'Support' here. This post will be updated as new material is published.

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Weekly Scoreboard Between The Hedges

Friday’s Price MonitorGlobal Macro Monitor

Tyler’s Weekly Market WrapZH
China's Bursting Bubble + Grexit Trouble = Dow Rubble

Tyler’s Weekly European WrapZH
European Sovereigns Have Worst Week In 5 Years, Stocks Slump

Succinct summation of week’s eventsThe Big Picture

US Schedule for WeekCalculated Risk

Economic CalendarBerenberg

EZ consumer confidence likely to rise: more jobs and cheap oil * US durable goods orders: volatile, stronger dollar may hurt * EZ Finance Ministers meet in Riga: Greek reform list on agenda

Economic CalendarHandelsbanken

UK Next Week’s AgendaHandelsbanken

World Week Ahead – WSJ

Global Central Banks CalendarWSJ

Week AheadZH

5 Things to Watch on the Economic CalendarWSJ

Wall St Week AheadReuters
Investors look to earnings for market direction

Global Economy Week Ahead – Reuters

Weighing the Week AheadA Dash of Insight

Global Week Ahead – BB

EU Week AheadWSJ
Greece, Transatlantic Trade and Africa
Weekly Market OutlookMoody’s

Weekly FocusDanske Bank
US: a rebound in non-defence durable goods orders ex. aircraft, Markit PMI remains at an elevated level and we expect a correction * Euro area: PMIs expected to increase signalling stronger economic activity * Greece: likely to remain in the spotlight at the upcoming Eurogroup meeting * UK: minutes from the MPC’s April meeting released. China: too early to call the bottom for China’s manufacturing PMI * Sweden: another lacklustre labour force survey

Macro Weekly – What if Greece ….?ABN AMRO
Negotiations between Greece and its European partners are not going well. It would appear that equity markets are more affected than bond markets. Why is that the case and what will happen if negotiators throw in the towel?

StrategyDanske Bank
We believe we are at a low point in the global business cycle * US growth to recover from here *
Stock markets playing recovery * Fed members still signal hike in June-September window * German yields to go lower still as more maturities go below -0.2% * EURUSD to decline on better US data

Week AheadNordea
In the run-up to the important Eurogroup meeting on 24/25 April, Greece will continue to grab market attention. Our baseline continues to be a last-minute compromise, not Grexit. On the European data front, we will see Euro-area PMIs, Ifo and BoE minutes. In the US second-tier data are delivered, including durable goods orders and manufacturing PMI. Focus will also be on the Chinese HSBC flash PMI, where another negative surprise would add to the downside risk to the economic outlook.

Weekly Market Summary – The Fat Pitch

Euro Corporate Weekly – QE: What’s next, credit?ABN AMRO
Yields keep exploring new levels but spreads aren’t in terra incognita * We expect a positive surprise in economic growth which should be supportive for spreads * More institutions are eligible for the QE programme. What’s next, credit?

Euro Rates Weekly: Scarcity of DSLs is still aliveABN AMRO
Mr Draghi downplayed the likelihood of scarcity but still expanded the ECB shopping list * Dutch agencies were the lion share and constitute around EUR 40bn of extra eligible assets * Adding these names means that the DNB can focus less of its purchases on government bonds but we calculate that this hardly makes a difference for DSLs * The inclusion of Dutch agencies means that the DNB can stick to its buying pattern but we still expect that the DNB will need to move up the maturity spectrum eventually

Yield Forecast UpdateDanske Bank
Lack of bonds to push 10Y German yields to zero or below

Euro rates updateNordea

G10 FX Weekly – US data weigh on dollarABN AMRO
US dollar come-back pushed back again…and the euro also remained weak * Currencies of oil exporting countries outperformed following the higher oil price

FX 4 next week: EURUSD for bulls and bearsTF
With EURUSD still mired in the same tedious furrow, here's two ways to trade it next, depending on whether you're a bull or a bear. Commodity dollars, meanwhile, are looking a tad expensive; risk lurks behind the UK election headlines and SEK is perking up in time for Spring.

FX Outlook Marc to Market

Dollar Bulls Bend but Don't Break
EM FX Weekly – EM FX extends recoveryABN AMRO
EM currencies profited from a weak US dollar with the exception of the Turkish lira * Asian currency performance has a direct impact on central bank behaviour * Weaker CNY needed?

Economic Calendar –
Economic Calendar – BB
EU calendar –

Global Central Banks Calendar – WSJ
Central Bank Release Calendar – Daily FX