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Monday, November 21

21st Nov - Italy worries





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EUROPE
Mario Draghi Speech to European Parliament – ECB

Day of Reckoning Strikes Europe’s Balance-Sheet Basket Cases – BB
Firms with highest debt ratios are slumping this month * Prospects of imminent Fed rate hike weigh on the shares

  ITALY
Interview Italy’s Five Star’s Bebbe Grillo – Euronews

Italy’s referendum holds the key to the future of the euro – FT
On December 5, Europe could wake up to an immediate threat of disintegration

Italy’s Looming Referendum Risk Splits Southern Europe’s Bond Markets – WSJ


UNITED STATES
Olivier Blanchard: What Size Fiscal Deficits for the United States? – PIIE

  TRUMP
Trump’s economic advisor explains upcoming policy – ZH
What Will Trump Do on Economic Policy? – WSJ
Citi on what will happen to "Trump repatriation" cash – ZH
Noah Smith:  Even Trump Is a Keynesian – View / BB
Steve Bannon and the Last Crusade – Noah Smith
In Trump Versus China, Everyone Can Win – BB


OTHER
Macro Monday: It's destination parity for EURUSD – TF
The Eurozone's structural issues persist and with a US regime about to change and generally low negative sentiment towards EURUSD there's only one outcome - the USD and the EUR are looking likely to reach parity.

BofA: How to trade the year of “peak everything, big rotations” – ZH

  MEDALLION
Inside a Moneymaking Machine Like No Other – BB
The Medallion Fund, an employees-only offering for the quants at Renaissance Technologies, is the blackest box in all of finance

Matt Levine: Renaissance's Skill and Facebook's Buyback – View / BB


REGULARS
Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Eye-Opener – Nordea
Dovish Draghi, stronger USD, OPEC expectations * Euro area on ECB support in the coming years * Euro area yields went lower as investors may start to question the sell-off * Dollar continues its rally. Traded below 1.06 on Friday

Morning Markets – TF
The US dollar is continuing its dizzying ascent against a broad range of currencies and looks to stretch its winning streak to an 11th consecutive session. Despite the strong greenback oil is higher on renewed hopes of a production cutting deal while the British pound has firmed as traders eye a key Brexit speech by PM Theresa May this morning.

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
Flattish Consolidation Hides Dollar Strength

Daily Market Comment – Macro Man
Au revoir, Sarko

Daily Press Summary – Open Europe

Brussels Playbook – Politico

US Open – ZH
Trumpflation Takes A Breather As Global Stocks Rise, Oil Jumps On Renewed OPEC "Deal Optimism"

Frontrunning – ZH

FX Update – TF
It is the week of the Thanksgiving holiday in the US possibly meaning a consolidation or at least a pause in the brutal US dollar rally seen after mid-week.


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Euroopan kohtuullinen kasvu saa jatkoa * Saksan korot laskivat perjantaina * Draghin perjantaina Frankfurtissa pitämä puhe oli odotetusti kyyhkymäinen * EKP:n pääjohtaja Draghi on Euroopan parlamentin kuultavana

Kauppa on kuolemaksi – Pertti Haaparanta

Selvitys: Euro on myrkkyä osakemarkkinoille – KL
Euro on ollut Euroopan osakemarkkinoille todellista myrkkyä, selviää LähiTapiolan tuoreeesta selvityksestä.