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Tuesday, November 29

29th Nov - Good data, Italy worries





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EUROPE
Exchange Rate Regimes in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe – IMF


Eurozone Businesses, Consumers More Upbeat – WSJ
Euro-Area Confidence Rises – BB


  ITALY
Italian referendum: Mapping the uncertainty – Nordea
Italian referendum: What and what next? – Open Europe
Renzi's referendum risks rocking Rome Treaty – TF


UNITED STATES
Ben Bernanke: Fed economic projections: What are they good for? – Brookings

Yankee banks, corporate taxes and the Fed’s impossible trinity – FT

US Q3 GDP Revised Higher To 3.2%, Beating Expectations – ZH
Q3 GDP Revised Up to 3.2% Annual Rate – Bill McBride
Q3 Growth Revised Upward on Consumer Spending – BB
Consumers, exports power Q3 economic growth – Reuters
Some Thoughts on Q3 US GDP – Marc Chandler


OTHER
From Peak Oil to Peak Oil Demand in Just Nine Years – View / BB

The Equity Risk Premium – Norges Bank

Emanuel Derman: A Stylized History of Quantitative Finance – Ritholz

The Man Who Invented the World’s Most Important Number – BB
When Minos Zombanakis devised Libor—the London interbank offered rate—half a century ago, he had no way of knowing it would star in one of history’s greatest financial scandals.


REGULARS
Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Eye-Opener – Nordea
Caution ahead of news from OPEC, the US and Italy later this week * Swedish Q3 GDP – today’s highlight * Schatz yield at all-time low, Schatz-spread at all-time high * EUR weaker as Draghi says Euro is “a half-built house”

Morning Markets: Italian banks spark contagion fear – TF
Markets took one look at an abyss labelled Italy Monday and did not like it one bit as the threat of contagion through the European banking sector reared its head with five days to go to the vote on constitutional reform. Elsewhere oil rallied again as fresh optimism swept through the market 24 hours before Opec meets in Vienna.

Euro wrap-up – Daiwa

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
Dollar Comes Back Mostly Firmer, but Focus is Elsewhere

Daily Market Comment – Macro Man
Stocks for the long run

Daily Press Summary – Open Europe

Brussels Playbook – Politico

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day – BB
Oil split * Brexit strategy * Trump warning * Markets slip * Big week of data

US Open – ZH
Global Stocks Pressured As Oil Slides On OPEC Deal Concerns; US Futures, Dollar Rise

Frontrunning – ZH

FX Update – TF
The US dollar survived a brief test of its recent strength to start the week. Now the USD bulls will need to keep the momentum up if we’re to avoid slipping back into a period of range trading. The risk associated with this weekend’s Italian referendum is a key stumbling block for timing EURUSD trades.


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Saksasta suuntaa euroalueen inflaatio-odotuksille * Suomalaisten kuluttajien luottamus vahvinta yli viiteen vuoteen * Saksan 2 vuoden korko ennätysmatalalla * Ruotsin taloudessa heikkoa kasvua