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Thursday, November 3

3rd Nov - Court gives a blow to easy Brexit

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Turkey threatens EU refugee deal over visa lag Politico

ECB reviews its risk control framework for collateral assets – ECB
ECB amends Guidelines relating to monetary policy implementation – ECB
Economic Bulletin Issue 7, 2016 – ECB
Economic developments in the aftermath of the UK referendum – ECB
Recent developments in euro area residential property prices – ECB

Pound Gains Before Brexit Court Ruling, BOE Policy Announcement – BB
Mark Carney Has a New Set of Brexit Problems to Solve – BB
What’s at Stake in the Brexit Court Ruling: QuickTake Q&A – BB
Pound Surges - Brexit Needs Parliamentary Approval, Court Rules – ZH
UK government must consult MPs on Brexit – Politico
Judges Back Call for UK Parliament Vote Over Brexit Trigger – BB
Pound Jumps Most Since August as UK Loses Lawsuit – BB
Sterling Update – Marc Chandler
After court’s decision, forget about activating Article 50 in March – FT
What does today’s ruling mean for the Brexit plans? – Open Europe
Court decision a blow to government – Reuters
Factbox: What now after UK government loses Brexit court case? – Reuters
Britain's Brexit airbag can't cushion everyone – Reuters
May Pledges to Hold to Brexit Timetable – BB
Pound Jumps Most Since July as Court, BOE Deliver Double Boost – BB
Mark Carney: Court ruling adds to uncertainty for UK economy – Politico

Goldman Sachs Still Expects Hillary To Win The Election, But... – ZH
Secret Recordings Fueled FBI Feud in Clinton Probe – WSJ
FBI Investigation of Clintons Despite DOJ Orders To "Stand Down" – ZH
FBI Said To Move To "Likely Indictment" Of Clinton Foundation – ZH
Baier: Sources believe Clinton case towards "likely an indictment" – RCP
The FBI Wants to Make America Great Again – View / BB
When the Election’s Over, Take a Deep Breath Before Selling – WSJ

Services Economy Slips From August Spike – ZH
ISM Non-Manufacturing Index declined to 54.8% in October – Bill McBride
El-Erian: What to Look for in the Jobs Report – View / BB
5 Things to Watch in the October Jobs Report – WSJ


EGP: floated and weakens 32% – Nordea
Egypt devalues – now the hard work starts – FT
Time to implement a rule-based monetary policy framework – Lars Christensen

What Rising Bond Yields Are Trying to Tell UsView / BB

21 books billionaire Warren Buffett thinks everyone should readBI

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Fed upbeat on inflation, US election anxiety, stronger JPY * BoE will remain on hold but leave the easing door open * Federal Reserve more upbeat on inflation * Tighter US election race spurring a stronger JPY

Morning MarketsTF
The US dollar is broadly lower as persisting fears about the outcome of next Tuesday's presidential election continue to harry markets.
Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
Political Angst Drives Markets

Daily Market CommentMacro Man
Survey results

Daily Press SummaryOpen Europe

Brussels PlaybookPolitico

US Futures Flat, Rebound From Session Lows On Rising Election Jitters


FX UpdateTF
The USD weakness broadened yesterday as uncertainty over the outcome of the US presidential election rises with Trump’s positive momentum shift. If the US data comes in line through the end of the week however the market may have a hard time pushing the greenback weaker until we get the election results next week.

BoE haluaa lisää todisteita jäähtymisestä * USA:n palvelusektorin luottamus pysyy vahvana * Fed piti ohjauskoron ennallaan 0,5 prosentissa * Pelot Trumpin kirin onnistumisesta ajoivat korkoja alas

Ykkösaamu: Euron tulevaisuusYLE
Euron tulevaisuus, Heikki Taimio, erikoistutkija, Talous&yhteiskunta-lehden päätoimittaja ja Vesa Kanniainen, kansantaloustieteen professori emeritus.