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Tuesday, December 11

11th Dec - US Close: Fiscal Cliff & FOMC



Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Roundups and Commentary
Markets – Between The Hedges
The Closer – alphaville / FT

Tomorrow’s Tape: Let's Twist Again – WSJ
Morning Briefing (Asia): – BNY Mellon
US: Stocks "Off The Highs" And Credit "At The Lows" – ZH

Reference
Debt crisis live – The Telegraph
The Euro Crisis Blog – WSJ
Tracking Europe’s Debt Crisis – NYT
FX Options Analytics – Saxo Bank
European 10yr Yields and Spreads – MTS indices
Economic Calendar – Forexpros

EUROPE
In Euro Zone, Challenging London as the Continent’s Financial Capital – DealBook / NYT
 
3 Unorthodox Ways to Solve Europe’s Debt Crisis – DealBook / NYT

UNITED STATES
Disappointing Trade Report – Tim Duy’s Fed Watch
While I do not believe the US economy is in recession by any stretch of the imagination, I am under no illusions about the lack of underlying momentum.  Slow and steady, in my opinion.  But slow also means more vulnerable

The recovery: In search of "natural" velocity – Free exchange / The Economist
A change in the trajectory of recovery can only occur when markets expect growth to be faster in the future and adjust their behaviour in the present accordingly. The question is: what sort of change in economic conditions will generate such a shift?

  FISCAL CLIFF
The Fiscal Cliff – reason
A forum on America’s impending budgetary doom and what to do about it

The Debt-Celing Gamble – Tim Duy’s Fed Watch
Better - from a political point of view - to have a recession at the beginning of President Obama's second term that can be blamed entirely on the Republicans.

The Fiscal Cliff: What Is Success? – Macro and Markets

As U.S. Approaches Debt Limit, Treasury Readies ‘Extraordinary’ Measures – WSJ

  FED WATCH
FOMC Preview: New monthly purchases likely after Operation Twist – Saxo Bank

Jobs, triggers and the Fed – MacroScope / Reuters
The unemployment rate alone cannot capture the state of the labor market. Friday’s report show why.

Fed Seen Buying More Bonds – WSJ

Relatively flat base growth and slowing M2 (though less relevant) makes us think the Fed will remain aggressive.

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