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Sunday, December 30

30th Dec - Weekender



Due to lack of material, I am combining all the usual Weekender-posts to one.
First the “Weekly Support”, the past week reviewed and next one previewed, followed by the usual Europe, US and Asia articles, and finally the Economis, Markets, Off-Topics.


Previously on MoreLiver’s:


LAST WEEK
Prices
Weekly Scoreboard – Between The Hedges
Weekly Eurozone Watch – Global Macro Monitor
Week in Review – Global Macro Monitor
U.S. Equity Sector ETF Performance – Global Macro Monitor
US market portrait 2012 week 53 – Portfolio Probe

Summary for Week ending 28-DecCalculated Risk
It was a light holiday week for economic data.

The Weekenderbeyondbrics / FT

NEXT WEEK
Schedule for Week of 30-DecCalculated Risk
The key report next week is the December employment report to be released on Friday. Other key reports include December auto sales on Wednesday, the December ISM manufacturing index, and the December ISM service index.

Next Week’s TapeMarketBeat / WSJ
December’s employment report on Friday

S&P 500 Earnings Week AheadReuters

Wall Street Week AheadReuters
Investors fearing a stock market plunge - if the United States tumbles off the "fiscal cliff" next week - may want to relax.

(video) Europe Week Ahead: Fiscal cliff deadline loomsReuters

(video) Asia Week Ahead: – Reuters

(video) US Week Ahead: Deal or no deal, the damage's already doneReuters

FX Positioning and Technical Outlook: Weak Signals, Lots of NoiseMarc to Market
The holiday week saw the dollar consolidate against most of the major currencies.  The yen was the main exception as its losses were extended under the aggressive signals coming from the new Japanese government.  

Weighing the Week Ahead: What lies over the cliff?A Dash of Insight

The Weekly T Report: – TF Market Advisors

Emerging: Week Aheadbeyondbrics / FT

CALENDARS
Economic Calendar – Forexpros
Economic Calendar – fxstreet.com
Monthly Economic Calendar – fxstreet.com
Economic Calendar – BB
EU calendar – europa.eu

MarkkinakalenteriNordnet
MarkkinakalenteriTaloussanomat

REFERENCE
Debt crisis: live – The Telegraph
Europe Crisis Tracker – WSJ
Tracking Europe’s Debt Crisis – NYT
FX Options Analytics – Saxo Bank

Follow ‘MoreLiver’ on Twitter or Facebook

EUROPE
Brussels blog round-up for 22 – 28 December: Portugal’s growing bailout, more cuts ahead in Spain, and will Cameron ‘fudge’ an EU referendum?europp / LSE

Monti to face two key challenges in his bid for re-electionSober Look

Negative rates on deposits would force Eurozone core banks to repay their LTRO fundingSober Look

Another Flashing Red Light: Euro Liquidity Shortage Leads To First ECB Sterilization Failure Since November 2011ZH

The Crisis of PutinismProject Syndicate
Authoritarian clientelist regimes depend on the silent assent of their population and the loyalty of their elites. Unfortunately for Russian President Vladimir Putin, when the former is called into question by popular protest, the latter can no longer be taken for granted.

UNITED STATES
'Falling Off the Fiscal Cliff 'Economist’s View
Jason Saving, a senior research economist and advisor in the Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, discusses the economic consequences of going over the fiscal cliff

Realism about the fiscal cliffFabius Maximus / EconoMonitor
The fiscal cliff dominates the news. What will happen if we fall off it. How we can avoid it, preferably by easy painless solutions. Here we peel back the consensus wisdom to see what lies beneath. We’ll look at the cliff from different perspectives.

Why they want to go over the cliffPolitico

ASIA
The IMF on overinvestment Michael Pettis / EconoMonitor

China’s Princelings Build the Wrong Kind of CapitalismView / BB

Heirs of Mao’s Comrades Rise as New Capitalist NobilityBB

Should Japan "reflate"?Noahpinion

Egypt's central bank running dangerously low on foreign reservesSober Look

ECONOMICS
Nominal GDP Targeting: Still a SkepticAtlanta FED

Is academic macroeconomics flourishing? mainly macro

Rise of the cyborgsnoahpinion

OTHER
Enter the financial blogosphereThe Reformed Broker

The 107-Year-Old Stock PickerWSJ
The day before he celebrated his 107th birthday, I spoke with Irving Kahn, chairman of Kahn Brothers Group in New York and former research assistant to Benjamin Graham, the father of value investing.

The Illiquidity Premium: International EvidenceSSRN
The average monthly premium is 0.95% (0.44%) for equally-weighted (value-weighted) portfolio return. After controlling for six common global and regional risk factors, the monthly alpha is 1.04% (0.54%). The premium is much higher for emerging markets than it is for developed ones and it is lower in countries with better disclosure and legal\governance rules. We document significant comovement of country illiquidity premium with both the global and regional average illiquidity premiums.

OFF-TOPIC
Alan Turing in three wordsThe Times Literary Supplement

What Turned Jaron Lanier Against the Web?Smithsonian
The digital pioneer and visionary behind virtual reality has turned against the very culture he helped create

The Structure of Scientific Revolutions at FiftyThe New Atlantis

The Folly of ScientismThe New Atlantis

The Tip of the SpearLos Angeles Times
In the mid-1980s, journalist Joel Sappell and a colleague began a five-year examination of the Church of Scientology that would ultimately produce a 24-article series. It would also change Sappell’s life in ways both mystifying and unnerving. Decades later the onetime investigative reporter investigates what happened to him.

Meaning on the Brain: How Your Mind Organizes RealitySciAm