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Thursday, December 6

6th Dec - EU Open




Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Roundups
News roundup – Between The Hedges
The 6am Cut London – alphaville / FT
Emerging Markets Headlines – beyondbrics / FT

Reference
Debt crisis live – The Telegraph
The Euro Crisis Blog – WSJ
Tracking Europe’s Debt Crisis – NYT
FX Options Analytics – Saxo Bank
European 10yr Yields and Spreads – MTS indices
Economic Calendar – Forexpros

MORNING BRIEFINGS
3 Numbers To Watch: Eurozone GDP, BOE & ECB Announcements – Saxo Bank
No change is expected in the revision of Q3 GDP for the eurozone, but the October slump in retail sales may influence today’s ECB interest rate decision. Lower expectations for Q4 GDP in Britain will also weigh on BOE’s policy statement.

Market Preview: Focus on UK and EU interest rate decisions – Saxo Bank
European markets are expected to open firmer Thursday. S&P has cut its credit rating on Greece to Selective Default from CCC. Meanwhile, traders eye UK and Eurozone monetary policy meetings and revised Eurozone GDP data due later today.

Danske Daily – Danske Bank (pdf)
Signs that the US is moving closer to a deal on avoiding the fiscal cliff. Standard & Poor’s cut its rating of Greece to selective default but might soon return its rating to junk. New Zealand’s central bank keeps leading interest rate unchanged. ECB and Bank of England are both expected to be on hold today.

Markkinakalenteri – Nordnet
Markkinakalenteri – Taloussanomat

EUROPE

Spain’s economic problems are not being helped by attempts to disguise debt in official figures – europp / LSE


  ECB PREVIEW
ECB Preview: What to expect, plus a few potential surprises – Saxo Bank
The ECB is expected to keep rates unchanged and promise dovish policy for 2013, with strong euro support. The Q&A on Spain and Greece could hold some surprises. I'll be online during the press conference and look forward to discussing this with you.

ECB Seen Refraining From Rate Cuts as Yields Sink on Bond Plan – ECB


ECB set to cut economic forecasts, but not rates – Reuters
 
(previously:)

ECB to hold rates, guidance for 2013 eyed – Reuters
The ECB may give a guide to next year's policy path when it delivers fresh forecasts for the euro zone economy on Thursday at a meeting where it is expected to leave interest rates at a record low.
ECB Set to Keep Policy on Hold – WSJ
ECB preview: Draghi sees signs of improvement – Danske Bank (pdf)
 
UNITED STATES
November Employment Report Preview – A Dash of Insight
Take the "under" in NFP sweepstakes – Humble Student

OTHER
The Absolute Return Letter Dec 1212: In Search of The Holy Grail – docstoc

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