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EUROPE
Farage’s Five Star moment – FT
EU Lobbies Yellen on Bank Debt Rule – WSJ
TLTRO impact questioned as the carry trade
provides easy money – Sober
Look
The ECB’s Bank Review: Kill the Zombies and
Heal the Wounded – PIIE
Euro area
international trade in goods surplus 15.7 bn euro – Eurostat
Euro area trade
balance widens as imports fall more than exports – TradingFloor
Employment up by 0.1%
in euro area – Eurostat
Euro area employment
rose in Q1 – TradingFloor
UNITED STATES
The U.S. should reform its tax code with “a degree of
urgency” to overcome challenges to long-term economic growth, including an
aging population and rising household inequality, OECD said.
Fedspeak Cheatsheet: What Are Fed Policymakers
Saying? – WSJ
Analysts on FOMC meeting next week – Calculated
Risk
Still extrapolating the bubble – Sober Look
Why the private sector
is so afraid of student debt
UMich Consumer
Confidence Drops – ZH
Preliminary June
Consumer Sentiment decreases to 81.2 – Calculated
Risk
ASIA
China: Further evidence of stabilisation in May
data – Danske
Bank
Monitor: Chinese credit crunch – Danske
Bank
It now looks like China will be able to get past June without a repeat
of last year’s money market stress
and hence a major
hurdle for a recovery in H2 appears to have been cleared.
Yu Yongding: The Nobel
laureate economist Robert Mundell showed that an economy can maintain two – but
only two – of three key features: monetary-policy independence, a fixed
exchange rate, and free cross-border movements of capital. But China is
currently juggling all three – an act that is becoming increasingly difficult
to sustain.
MARKETS
A simple and reliable way to compute
option-based risk-neutral distributions – FED
Daily Central Banks – WSJ
Schlesinger’s Take:
For BOJ, A Calculated Fade From Spotlight * WSJ Survey: Economists See First
Fed Hike in a Year * Fischer Confirmed as Fed Vice Chairman * Carney Says BOE
Could Raise Rates Sooner Than Markets Expect * ECB’s Weidmann Warns Against QE
ECONOMICS
The macroeconomic effects of asset
purchases – voxeu.org
After reducing their
policy rates close to zero in response to the global financial crisis, the Bank
of England and the Federal Reserve began purchasing assets. This column
assesses the effect of these asset purchases on output and inflation. In line
with previous studies, the authors find that asset purchase announcements are
associated with increases in both output and inflation in both countries. They
also find that quantitative easing had a larger impact on UK inflation, which suggests that the UK Phillips
curve is steeper.
The Case for a Long-Run Inflation Target of
Four Percent – IMF
If fiscal policy is
important at the zero lower bound, why did the US recovery continue in 2012 and 2013 despite a
large fiscal contraction? Or to put the same question in a comparative way, why
was the Eurozone’s fiscal contraction in 2012/3 associated with a recession,
but not in the case of the US?
In 2013, output was 13
percent below its trend path from 1990 through 2007.
Recession Did Lasting Harm to Global
Growth Potential, Study Finds
– WSJ
OFF-TOPIC
European Cab Protests Lead To 850% Increase In
New Uber Users – ZH
Streisand-effect in
action J
The Eccentric Genius Whose Time May Have
Finally Come (Again) – The
Atlantic
Resurrecting the
legacy of a man who understood, and feared, the future of automation.
The Biology of Risk – NYT
One woman’s ghastly
dollhouse dioramas turned crime scene investigation into a science.
A Guide to Read-It-Later Apps – Recode
FINNISH
Historian
huonoin hallitus? – Osmo
Soininvaara
EKP:n
toimilla on jo ollut vaikutuksia – Roger
Wessman / Marketnoze
Antti
Rinne: Saksan tai Ruotsin malli ei kelpaa työpaikkojen lisäämiseen – TE
"Deflaation
uhkaa ei voi sulkea pois" – TalSa
Näkökulma:
Vastuu on kuulijalla – IL
Totuuden nimissä täytyy sanoa, ettei puolueen,
tässä tapauksessa keskustan, talouden kuntoon laittaminen ole helppoa näinä
aikoina.
Teollisuuden liikevaihto supistui Q1 2014 noin
3% edellisvuodesta – Tilastokeskus
Rakennusyritysten liikevaihto kasvoi Q1 2014 2,6%
edellisvuodesta – Tilastokeskus
Palvelujen liikevaihto kasvoi Q1 2014 2,5% vuoden
takaisesta – Tilastokeskus
Kansantalouden tuotanto kasvoi huhtikuussa
2014 – Tilastokeskus