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Sunday, June 8

8th Jun - W/E: Europe, US, Asia

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Brussels blog round upEuropp / LSE
Juncker negotiations, Spanish monarchy, and is ‘Merkenzi’ the new ‘Merkozy’?

Lacklustre investment in the Eurozone: Is there a puzzle?
Marco Buti, Philipp Mohl: Investment in the Eurozone is forecast to remain below trend until 2015, with a particularly large shortfall in the periphery. Low investment reduces aggregate demand, thus lowering short-term growth, and it also hampers medium-term growth through its effect on the capital stock. This article highlights three causes of low Eurozone investment – reduced public investment, financial fragmentation, and heightened uncertainty – and proposes a series of remedies.

Euro area external imbalances and the burden of adjustmentECB
ECB Working papers by Filippo di Mauro and Francesco Pappadà

Exchange rates and trade adjustment: Fat tails
Filippo di Mauro, Francesco Pappadà: Trade imbalances in the Eurozone require relative price adjustments. This column argues that the traditional ‘elasticity’ approach is lacking when thinking about the adjustment magnitude. Exports adjust when exporting firms sell more (intensive margin) and new firms start exporting (extensive margin). The extensive-margin reaction depends upon the fatness of firm-level productivity distributions. Surplus-country distributions have fatter tails than deficit countries, suggesting that the price adjustment magnitude may be larger than traditional calculations suggest.

Book Review: The Battle for Europe Europp / LSE
In The Battle for Europe: How an Elite Hijacked a Continent and How we Can Take it Back Thomas Fazi argues that EU elites have seized on the financial crash to push through neoliberal policies, undermining social cohesion and public services.

The German economy: Clouds aheadThe Economist
The recent vigour hides underlying weaknesses. Europe’s leading economy is facing clouds ahead.

Cameron's Empty Threat Britain Risks Losing an Ally in EU FeudSpiegel
It appears David Cameron's strategy has backfired. His campaign to derail Jean-Claude Juncker's appointment as the next EU Commission president is failing and the British prime minister may soon suffer a loss of face. Angela Merkel is his only possible savior.

IMF warns UK government over housing bubble riskBBC
IMF: 'Ward off housing bubble now'BBC

Here’s One Set of Potential Losers from the ECB’s Rate MoveWSJ

Will Falling Euro-Zone Yields Push Up the Euro?WSJ

ECB Officials to Markets: Chill a While and Let Our Actions Take EffectWSJ

Europe’s drifters wait but inflation never comesFT
Wolfgang Munchau: Draghi is trying a new approach, and if that does not work, he will try another

Trouble for Merkel: Berlin Divided in Spat over EU CommmissionSpiegel
The appointment of the next leaders of the EU Commission has divided Europe, raising the specter that Britain could leave the bloc. London is an important ally to German Chancellor Angela Merkel and it is likely she will seek to broker a deal.

Opinion: Europe's Juncker BondSpiegel
Jean-Claude Juncker vehemently criticized German-imposed austerity measures during the euro crisis. By doing so, he gained support in a number of countries -- especially those which would like to see the common currency zone degraded into a debt union.

The perils of MerkelvellianismThe Economist
Europe looks getting either a rotten president or a constitutional crisis

The Con-Artist Wing of the Democratic PartyVICE
Review and commentary of Timothy Geithner’s latest book.

June Macro Update: Still Moderate GrowthFat Pitch

Americans warming up to credit cards againSober Look

Financial Sector Default Risk PlummetsBespoke

New York Fed releases 2013 annual reportFED

Economists React: China’s Sluggish Imports Raise ConcernsWSJ