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Sunday, June 29

29th Jun - W/E: Markets, Econ, Off-Topic, Finnish

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How to be bullish and bearish, part 2Humble Student

First Half Coming to an EndBespoke
Historical 1st Half vs. 2nd Half PerformanceBespoke

Market conditions bear a worrying resemblance to those of 2007 The Economist

The Intuitive Investor: Why Intuition Is ImportantCFA Institute

Levine on Wall Street: A Steal at $15 MillionBB

Norway’s sovereign wealth fund to take bigger stakes in companiesFT
Norway’s $890bn oil fund is accelerating its push to become a more active investor as the world’s biggest sovereign wealth fund said it would double the number of companies it owns big stakes in over the next three years (see the fund’s 2014-2016 strategy)

Here’s Why ‘Smart Beta’ Has Jumped the SharkBarron’s
The smart-beta sirens are calling to OdysseusFT

Don't Shortchange Short SellersBB
Shorts are the leash that markets put on asset bubbles. We should be helping them do their job.

I’m Just Now Realizing How Stupid We AreFool

Daily Macro: Is Japanese Deflation Finally Dead? - WSJ
Could Mr. Abe’s program to finally kill off a quarter century of economic malaise really be working? The latest data show Japanese inflation jumping and unemployment slipping back. Should Japanese firms start to compete for labor by pushing up wages, a virtuous cycle of growth and positive price pressures could well kick in. But the real puzzle in the latest batch of numbers was a stunning slump in consumer demand in May following the introduction of the consumption tax in April. Weak domestic demand could yet undermine Mr. Abe’s plans.

Daily Central Banks: Carney Takes A Test Drive Fighting BubblesWSJ
Douglas’ Take: Carney Takes A Test Drive Fighting Bubbles * Rates May Rise Even If Economic Growth Remains Subdued * BOE’s Carney Says Rates Won’t Rise to Levels Previously Considered Normal * Euro-Zone Mood Worsens Despite ECB Policy Shift * Japan Jobs Market Improves, Inflation Slows

Restructuring sovereign debt: Busted flushThe Economist
As Argentina ponders its next step, the IMF suggests new rules for broke countries

Creeping Global Protectionism? Not So Fast, World Bank SaysWSJ
The world’s biggest economies have been quietly raising barriers at their borders since the financial crisis in an attempt to stifle trade and boost struggling domestic industries… ut the trend isn’t so simple, and there is at least some evidence the wave of protectionism could be subsiding, the World Bank said in a report on Thursday.

Global banks and liquidity risk
The international transmission of liquidity shocks is one of the key questions of banking globalisation. This column discusses a project of central bank researchers from around the world who have been exploring the role of global banks in the transmission of liquidity shocks. Using micro data from individual banks and applying common methodology are of individual interest. But more importantly, it allows us to detect common features of international bank and liquidity shock transmission.

Why Banks Must Be Allowed to Create Moneynaked capitalism

Slowdown in Emerging Markets: Not Just a HiccupIMF

LSE’s weekend lecture: Capital in the Twenty-First CenturyGlobal Macro Monitor
What are the grand dynamics that drive the accumulation and distribution of capital? Thomas Piketty’s latest findings will transform debate and set the agenda for the next generation of thought about wealth and inequality.

Sovereign Debt Crises FED
This chapter analyzes the transmission channels between sovereigns and banks, with a focus on the effect of sovereign distress on bank solvency and financing. It then highlights the notable cost to the real economy of the close connection between sovereigns and banks. Breaking the "feedback loop" between these two sectors should be an important policy priority.

Who Best Survived the Financial Crisis?WSJ

A List of the Biggest Bank SettlementsWSJ

Understanding the New Classical revolution – Simon-Wren Lewios
The Rise and Fall of the New Classical Model – Mark Thoma
Stagflation and the Fall of Macroeconomics – Paul Krugman

The optimal immigration policy – just open the bordersMarket Monetarist

High Times on Wall StreetBusinessweek
The magazine, High Times, has survived as an icon of dope culture, and Kennedy, a criminal defense lawyer, has improbably ended up as its controlling owner. Now, with marijuana legal in some form in 22 states, the counterculture institution is aiming to raise $300 million for the High Times Growth Fund, which will make private equity investments in the marijuana business.

America's Marijuana Revolution: Ganjapreneurs Hit the Jackpot Spiegel
Since the legalization of marijuana in two US states in January, entrepreneurs and investors have been seeing green. Observers believe the industry will grow rapidly and may even rival the Dot.Com boom of the 1990s.

The FT’s summer books 2014 FT
From flash trading to the perfect penalty, FT writers and guests pick their books of the year so far

Poker with Steven LevittFT
Tim Harford understands Texas Hold’Em but can he play it? Perhaps he shouldn’t start by challenging a ‘data savvy millionaire genius’

Legalising v decriminalising drugs: A half-smoked jointThe Economist
Decriminalising drugs leaves the crooks with the cash. Legalise drugs instead

K is for Kruger-Dunning EffectPsy-fi

The Shadow Internet That’s 100 Times Faster Than Google FiberWired

Why the massive black market trade in cigarettes affects you even if you don’t smokeWaPo

Book Review: The Big ConThe Aleph Blog
This is a book about Confidence Men, first published in 1940, and recently republished in 1999.  It was written by David W. Maurer, who was a professor of linguistics, and used his skills to analyze the slang of the underworld.

Järjen ääni voittamassa Euroopassa!Henri Myllyniemi / US

Suomalaisten talousodotukset – unohtakaa ennusteet ja katsokaa mitä markkinat tekevätTyhmyri

Näin brittejä hyvitellään EU-pettymyksestäVerkkouutiset
EU-komission puheenjohtajan valinta nykytavalla voi jäädä yhden kerran kokeiluksi.

Pääkirjoitus: Suomen talous polkee pitkään paikallaanHS
Vertailu itsenäisyyden ajan aiempiin talouskriiseihin osoittaa, että uutta nousua suosivia tekijöitä on aiempaa vähemmän.

Jyrki Lehtola: Alexander Stubb, perussuomalainenIS

Tässäkö vaihtoehdot: liittovaltio tai euroton Eurooppa? – Suomen Pankki
Millainen on euron tulevaisuus? Suomen Pankin johtokunnan jäsenen Seppo Honkapohjan vieraina ovat kansantaloustieteen professori Vesa Kanniainen ja ETLAn toimitusjohtaja Vesa Vihriälä. Molemmat ovat julkaisseet vast`ikään kirjan euroalueesta, Kanniainen on toimittajana ”Euron tulevaisuus” -kirjassa ja Vihriälä yhtenä toimittajana ”EU:n suunta. Kuinka tiivis liitto?” [audio], [video].

Kuluttajien talousluottamus ennallaan kesäkuussa – Tilastokeskus