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Saturday, August 16

16th Aug - W/E: Weekly Support

Here are the links to the weekly roundups, reviews and also previews of the beginning week. Last week's 'Support' here.

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Weekly ScoreboardBetween The Hedges

Friday’s Price MonitorGlobal Macro Monitor

Tyler’s Weekly European Market WrapZH
German Stocks Give Up Week's Gains As Bund Yields Plunge To Record Lows

Tyler’s Weekly Market WrapZH
Bond Yields Plunge Most In 10 Months As Stocks BTFEscalation

Succinct summation of week’s eventsThe Big Picture

Economic CalendarBerenberg
UK Bank of England minutes: a first dissenter? * US Fed minutes: growing confidence * Euro PMIs: Ukraine uncertainty

UK Calendar – Handelsbanken

Economic CalendarHandelsbanken
5 Things to Watch on the Economic CalendarWSJ
The biggest economic event next week will be the symposium hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. Or as Fed-watchers simply call it, “Jackson Hole,” the Wyoming city where the conference takes place each year.

Wall St Week AheadReuters
U.S. stocks a safe haven, even after panic selloffs

Europe’s Week Ahead – WSJ

Weekly Market OutlookMoody’s

Weighing the Week AheadA Dash of Insight
Time for Central Bankers to Unwind?

What Matters for Global Markets in the Week AheadWSJ

Key Events In The Coming WeekZH
Expect No Fresh Signals from Yellen and Draghi at Jackson HoleMarc to Market
Week ahead: 1) Minutes from BoE, Fed and RBA 2) Aug purchasing manager indices from Europe 3) Geopolitics of Ukraine, Gaza, Iraq 4) Jackson Hole a non-event

Weekly Focus: Recovery continues despite political unrestDanske Bank
The minutes from the 29-30 July FOMC meeting due on Wednesday will attract attention, as the FOMC’s communication took a more hawkish turn in the latest statement

StrategyDanske Bank
Euro recovery weakening due to temporary external headwinds * Short-term picture still weak but euro recovery to gain pace later this year * US and Chinese recovery to moderate * Risk appetite recovers for now while bond yields hit new lows

Week AheadNordea
A quiet week in the Euro area in terms of data, and we have expectations of declining Flash PMIs on Thursday. The week will terminate with decisive speeches on the future from Yellen and Draghi at the Jackson Hole conference Friday. In China, the manufacturing sector has enjoyed tailwinds from the previous CNY weakening. Norway and Sweden are undergoing labor market improvement and Norway are expecting Q2 mainland GDP to increase 0.9%.

Scandi Markets AheadDanske Bank
Government bond auctions and divergent monetary policy in focus. In Sweden, the week ahead has only one data point of interest: the labour force survey (Thursday at 09:30 CEST), including hours worked, employment and the unemployment rate.

Viikkokatsaus: Näkemys talouden suunnasta ei muutuNordea
Mennyttä: Euroalue: Nousu katkesi Q2:lla * Japani BKT sukelsi ALV:n takia * Suomi: Pika-BKT yllätti, kun se ei yllättänyt Tulevaa: Luottamusluvut eivät muuta isoa kuvaa

Weekly Market SummaryThe Fat Pitch
You would guess that the fall in rates, which is flattening yield curves, would be a negative for US equities, indicating slowing growth prospects. However, the historical record is ambiguous.

Weekly Technical Market OutlookAndrew Trasher

Weekly Credit UpdateDanske Bank
Low yields for longer backs credits * Strong performance from Senior Financials * Low activity in primary markets

Yield Forecast UpdateDanske Bank
The trend for lower long bond yields has continued among rising geopolitical tensions and the view of lower terminal rates from central banks. In the meantime, short-end rates in the US and the UK remain close to recent highs, which reflect that policy normalisation is drawing closer. In Europe, a temporary growth pause has reinforced downward pressure on rates and so far the ECB’s measures have been unable to lift growth and inflation expectations.

European FI Strategy: Down! Flat! Done?Nordea
Low, flat but are we done on EUR rates, or is the time here for a reversal? We think the answer very cautiously is: Modestly, and for the longer end of the curve predominantly. We think the transatlantic spreads may widen a bit more, but that the EUR 5Y5Y swap rate in nominal but especially real terms is too low.

Euro rates updateNordea

FX Outlook – Marc to Market

Global FX Strategy - Geopolitics, liquidity in drivers’ seatNordea
The looming monetary policy divergence between major central banks’ and geopolitical worries have been the key drivers in recent months. Barring a sudden and peaceful resolution in east Ukraine we expect the EUR to remain under pressure. We are sceptical on EM FX and see some potential for a political risk premium in the SEK in September. The NOK, we like. Enjoy this edition of Global FX Strategy!

FX Forecast UpdateDanske Bank
Here come the Scandies

EMEA WeeklyDanske Bank
Deflationary pressures strengthen in CEE

EM Preview of the Week AheadMarc to Market

Economic Calendar –
Economic Calendar – BB
EU calendar –

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