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Is UK’s EU referendum in June as nailed as people think? – Open Europe
Europe's Weakening Inflation Outlook Spurs Calls for ECB Action – BB
Mizuho sees ECB increasing pace of asset purchases in March * RBS predicts 0.4 percentage-point cut to deposit rate in 2016
EU launches ‘rule of law’ probe of Poland – Politico
Could Poland be the first victim of Article 7? – Politico
Timmermans calls for talks as row over Polish media law rumbles on – FT
New financial forecasts: No reason to be overly worried yet – Nordea
2016 certainly started with a bang. Plunges in Chinese equity prices have caused major swings in markets globally, and many have started to question the global outlook more generally. Our stance remains recent Chinese developments illustrate more temporary uncertainty related to the equity markets and the currency than the beginning of a hard landing in economy. The Fed will hike again in March, the Bank of England will follow in Q2. Emerging market currencies are probably past the worst.
Strategy 2016: Three reasons why the EUR could soar – Nordea
The EUR has been under pressure for monetary policy reasons since 2014, and we foresee some further EUR weakness in 2016. As always, there are known knowns, known unknowns, and unknown unknowns. In this piece we take a look at three known knowns which could cause the EUR to actually soar.
Morning MoneyBeat Asia – WSJ
U.S. Stocks Extend Gains After Choppy Session
Morning MoneyBeat Europe – WSJ
Morning MoneyBeat US – WSJ
A ‘Stealth Bear Market’ for the S&P
Danske Daily – Danske Bank
Euro rates update – Nordea
Eye-Opener – Nordea
Good news from Chinese trade and the US labour market * New financial forecasts * Fed March rate hike probability fading * GBP takes a hit on industrial data – ignoring better survey data
Morning Markets – TF
Surprisingly good Chinese data helped cheer markets Wednesday but oil is in yet another of its tepid recovery phases that offers very little confidence that it can defend the $30/b area.
Daily FX Comment – Marc Chandler
Fishing for a Bottom to Dollar-Yen
Daily Press Summary – Open Europe
Sweeping changes proposed to German immigration and asylum law in post-Cologne crackdown * AfD polling on record high following Cologne attacks * Government clashes with SNP over potential June referendum * Daily Express: Boris rejects leading Leave campaign * European Commission to hold fire on Polish government’s controversial reforms * New Spanish parliament holds first sitting amid continued uncertainty over government formation * Mid-term review of EU budget cancelled * Canadian mining firm suspends some operations in Greece amid political interference
Brussels Playbook – Politico
China trade fight — Polish debate — Migration money
US Open – ZH
Global Stocks Rebound As Fears Of Chinese Hard-Landing Pushed Back On Strong Trade Data
Frontrunning – ZH
FX Update – TF
Markets tried to put a pretty face after a relatively upbeat Asian session and a calming of the overnight rates for offshore yuan. But the bounce will prove of the dead cat variety if it can't extend notably in today's session.
From the Floor – TF
Commodity prices – and especially oil prices – remain near record lows but a stable Asian session as well as some slight local bounces mean that risk sentiment is starting to return to world markets.
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Vaihteeksi myönteisiä uutisia Kiinasta * Kiinan vienti laski odotettua vähemmän * Euroalueen teollisuustuotannon kasvu jää aiempaa hitaammaksi * Fedin Evans ja Lacker ovat äänessä tänään