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Wednesday, July 18

18th Jul - EU Open: "Almost there"

The old wisdom used to be "when in doubt, stay out of the markets". Actual finance theory and empirical data suggests otherwise - when in doubt, stay in your asset allocation. Yesterday again proved this point. By not keeping to your targets or stops, you have no targets - and the only stop will be your wife. Stick with the plan.

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

News roundup – Between The Hedges
The 6am Cut London – alphaville / FT
Emerging Markets Headlines – beyondbrics / FT
Debt crisis: live – The Telegraph
The Euro Crisis Blog – WSJ
Tracking Europe’s Debt Crisis – NYT
FX Options Analytics – Saxo Bank
European 10yr Yields and Spreads – MTS indices

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Asia today: Asia stays calm after the post-Bernanke volatilitySaxo Bank
There was relative calm in the currency markets during the Asian session following the volatile gyrations seen overnight post-Bernanke. With most order books likely wiped clean by the price action, Asia kept currency pairs tight-ranged.

Market Preview: BoE minutes on tapSaxo Bank
European markets are expected to open firmer Wednesday. Yesterday, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke offered no hints of further monetary easing in his testimony to Congress. Market participants await the release of the BoE minutes due today.

Danske DailyDanske Bank (pdf)
Markets  quickly shook of the initial disappointment  after Fed chairman Bernanke’s statement before Congress and the US stock market recovered strongly supported by a couple of well-received US corporate earnings…Focus today will be on minutes from the 5 July meeting of the Bank of England and UK jobless figures… Fed Chairman Bernanke gives his semi-annual report to the US House…the Fed releases its Beige Book survey

Morning Briefing: The Boys Are Back In Town BNY Mellon
Preparing for Japanese intervention.

Why Eurobonds Are PointlessZH
UBS: A more integrated Euro area federation can (probably must) take place without collective responsibility for national debts. What is needed is collective responsibility for some aspects of fiscal policy to offset the damage of collective monetary policy. That is a very different concept from the Eurobond.

More flight of capital out of the EurozoneSober Look
Large euro deposits originating outside of the Eurozone can come from the Fed Liquidity Facility (the Fed took in euros as collateral for dollars it was lending out) or from other central banks trying to defend the euro peg.

FOMC's new toolsSober Look
This got a great deal of speculation going. What could be the "new tools"? Here are some possibilities:

Bernanke’s ChoiceThe Daily Capitalist
Bernanke delivered a bleak new assessment of the U.S. economy to lawmakers on Tuesday but remained guarded about what, if anything, the Fed would do about it.

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