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Thursday, January 30

30th Jan - Fed tapers again, regardless of EM



Previously on MoreLiver’s:





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FOMC Statement – FED
WSJ’s statement tracker – WSJ
Parsing the Fed: How the Statement Changed – WSJ

Fed Stays Course – Marc to Market
Fed will reduce the long-term assets it purchases by another $10 bln in February.  That will bring its purchases to $65 bln a month, which is still about 50% larger than QE3 when it was initially announced, before Operation Twist purchases were folded into it. Notably there were not dissents.   It is the first unanimous result since 2011. 

The Fed tapers another USD10bn and recognizes recent pick-up in growth – Danske Bank

Hilsenrath Takeaways: Fed Sets Bar on Tapering – WSJ

Fed Foward-Guidance Fallacies And The Untenable Status Quo – ZH

Fed To Emerging Markets: "Hasta La Vista, Baby" – ZH
Citi's Steven Englander:

Now Comes the Hard Part – WSJ
“Don’t fight the Fed,” was a popular saying these past few years, when the market was going up. The saying is just as valid now that the market’s going down.

Recap: Fed Statement, Market Reactions – WSJ

The Fed Erred in Ignoring Emerging Markets – WSJ

The Fed’s converging misses on inflation and unemployment – alphaville / FT

Bernanke refused to play chicken with Turkey today – WaPo

Citing Growth, Fed Again Cuts Monthly Bond Purchases – NYT

And The Taper Continues – Tim Duy’s Fed Watch
But what seems more clear is that the US is about to be hit by another disinflationary shock.  That deserves careful attention, because inflation, I think, is at this moment the most important variable to watch as far as Fed policy is concerned.  The Fed is pushing forward with tapering on only the forecast of future inflation.  That forecast appears under threat. 

In Bernanke's final act, Fed cuts stimulus despite market turmoil – Reuters

Fed to stay the course on tapering, end QE by year end – Reuters

Analysis: Only time will define Bernanke's crisis-era legacy at Fed – Reuters
Early assessments have been mostly positive. The former Princeton professor has been praised as the steady hand who helped steer the United States and world economies clear of a far more painful recession.