Greece and Spain, the only two games in town. The drop in German yields says it all - safety first and risk-off. Given this environment, it is surprising that the stock markets have held up so well. I think this shows that a chance of money printing by the ECB is being priced in. See yesterday's 9th May - You Shall Not Leave! and 9th May - US Open: Spain's Bail, Banks Thank for more article links and to get an overview of the two countries. Please
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News
roundup – Between
The Hedges
News roundup – The Trader
News roundup – The Trader
The 6am Cut
London – alphaville
/ FT
Danske Daily – DanskeBank (pdf)
Greek uncertainties continue to weigh on market sentiment. Spain takes 45% stake in Bankia, the third-largest lender in the country. Chinese slowdown concerns fuelled by weak import/export numbers
Morning Briefing –
BNYMellon
Japanese officials will look upon the renewed sense of crisis in the Euro-area with dismay
Market Preview: BoE interest rate decision eyed – Saxo Bank
Japanese officials will look upon the renewed sense of crisis in the Euro-area with dismay
Market Preview: BoE interest rate decision eyed – Saxo Bank
European markets are expected to open mixed Thursday. Market
participants are keeping a close eye on the Bank of England's interest
rate decision plus US initial jobless claims and trade balance data
scheduled for release later today.
Debt
crisis: live – The
Telegraph
Europe Crisis Tracker – WSJ
FX Options
Analytics – Saxo
Bank
Tyler’s Overnight Summary – ZH (new!)
Commodities
Daily: Tug of War – Commodity Trader
(new!)
European
10yr Yields and Spreads – MTS indices (new!)
EURO CRISIS
Europe's Most Parabolic Chart Goes Parabolic-er – ZH
TARGET2: The number as of April 30? €644,182,010,456.05, which is exactly 25% of German GDP, and an increase of €28.6 billion in April and €181 billion in 2012 alone!
TARGET2: The number as of April 30? €644,182,010,456.05, which is exactly 25% of German GDP, and an increase of €28.6 billion in April and €181 billion in 2012 alone!
The next election in Greece will be on June 17th.
The outcome is unpredictable and could determine if Greece will leave the euro.
German Central Banks Signals Willingness for
Higher Inflation; Catastrophic Uncertainty vs. Catastrophic Certainty – Mish’s
The irony is attempts to prevent what is
certain (a eurozone breakup), unleashes the very "catastrophic
uncertainty" they seek to prevent.
Spain Nationalizes BFA and 45% of Bankia; No
Bid for CatalunyaCaixa, Bank Worth Less Than Zero; Der Spiegel: Germany Fears "Bottomless Pit" – Mish’s
The best approach would be for Germany to kiss the euro goodbye immediately. The painful approach will be more
bailouts, more austerity, more tax hikes (and no reforms) in the same
devastating manner that destroyed Greece. Unfortunately, slow,
devastating torture appears to be in the cards.
Very nice
overview. Overnight the EFSF board agreed
to make an additional payment to Greece in order to keep it
technically solvent for a few more weeks
The political dam has broken in Europe. German Chancellor Angela Merkel no
longer has enough allies in the club of EU prime ministers to impose her
hairshirt agenda. Her methodical plans are disintegrating on every front.
OTHER
Willem Buiter: how about abolish currency
COMPLETELY? – Also
Sprach Analyst
Having
negative nominal interest rates is actually pretty easy.
Look Ahead: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims – Calculated
Risk