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Thursday, September 26

25th Sep - US Close



Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Roundups & Commentary
Markets – Between The Hedges
Recap – Global Macro Trading


Daily Risk Monitor – Global Macro Monitor
The Closer – alphaville / FT
US: Stocks Slump To Worst Run In 2013 As Bonds Surge To 7-Week Highs – ZH

EUROPE
ECB’s Weidmann Warns Germany on Need to Reform – WSJ
Germany's top central banker issued a stark warning to Germany's government Wednesday: either reform or risk falling behind.

German Optimism Depends On Spanish Deficits – WSJ
Germans are the most bullish they’ve been since the financial crisis struck. Their ability to sustain this optimism hinges on how long Germans will be content to turn a blind eye to big budget deficits in some of the single currency’s most beleaguered economies.

Germany-EU: Fear of Merkel’s “Diktat” – Presseurop

What Merkel’s Victory Means for the Euro – PIIE
Germany’s election result illustrates the effectiveness of Merkel’s political crisis strategy of showing solidarity with euro area reformers in neutralizing the most potent long-term political threat to the euro—the rise of a widespread euro-skepticism in Germany.

Toward a Fiscal Union for the Euro Area; Staff Discussion Note 13/09 – IMF
Euro Crisis Akin to Rubik’s Cube – WSJ
The euro zone faces years of low growth and risks undermining the currency union as a political project without more aggressive easing by the ECB and approval of bailout funds for bank recapitalization, the IMF’s top euro zone economist said.

Troika skeptical on Greece’s primary surplus – ekathimerini

UNITED STATES
Next year’s Fed – alphaville / FT
FOMC members of 2014.

  DEBT CEILING
U.S. to exhaust borrowing capacity by October 17: Treasury – Reuters
Debt-ceiling doomsday comes Oct. 17. Here’s what happens next. – Wonkblog / WP
Primer on the US Federal Budget and Debt Ceiling Negotiations – EconoMonitor
Investors Brush Aside Washington Brinkmanship – WSJ
Senate advances funding bill as debt limit fights loom – Reuters
Senate Vote Set on Spending Bill After Cruz Ends Speech – BB
On Debt Ceiling, Obama May Just Have to Cave – View / BB

  MACRO NUMBERS
August Durable Goods Orders Are a Mixed Bag – dshort
The ’’Real’’ Goods on the Latest Durable Goods Data – dshort
A Summer Slump in Business Spending – WSJ
Core Durable Goods, CapEx Both Miss; Revised Downward – ZH