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Tuesday, June 19

19th Jun - FED Watch

Collection of what I've linked to previously, plus several new ones at the bottom of the post.


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14-JUNE
Devil's Advocate – Tim Duy’s Fed Watch
I think you can tell a story that the most recent data is not sufficient to move Fed forecasts, in which case it remains possible that the Fed does not implement any changes next week.  I have to admit to being a little nervous that we get a Fed "leak" over the next few days in an effort to reset expectations ahead of the meeting.

F-O-M-C sitting in a tree…– alphaville / FT
Credit Suisse notes, among others

17-JUNE
The Weekly T Report: The Fed and Falling Knives and EUROPE – TF Market Advisors
Why should the Fed catch a falling knife? - The Fed isn't out of ammunition, just out of new weapons - Greek Elections Don´t Matter Much - The Spanish Bailout Is a Big Deal - JPM

Communications Failure – Tim Duy’s Fed Watch
It would be very helpful if at the next FOMC meeting policymakers could agree to a specific path for additional easing, if needed, and eliminate the ad-hoc approach.

The Diminishing Returns Of Central Planning – ZH
BofA’s thoughts on why more printing would have no impact

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18-JUNE
FOMC preview: twist and shout – Danske Bank (pdf)

19-JUNE
The Fed: Once Again Behind the Curve and Scrambling to Catch Up... – Brad DeLong

How big a bazooke does the Fed need? – Humble Student

Fed Seen Twisting to Risk Management to Spur U.S. Growth – BB

Looking Forward to the FOMC Meeting and Beyond: Speculations – Daily Capitalist

Will Bernanke deliver on this market’s expectations? – Saxo Bank

The Fed’s credit problem – Felix Salmon / Reuters

Hints of internal Fed divisions on Twitter? – MacroScope / Reuters

Why Fed may do more stimulus, in one chart – Wonkblog / WP

What Happened Into The Last FOMC Meeting? – ZH
Buy the rumor, sell the news.

Two Days Until the Fog Lifts – Tim Duy’s Fed Watch

UniCredit’s Bandholz Says Fed May Extend Stimulus – BB (mp3)

Harvard’s Feldstein Says Impact of Fed Actions Muted – BB (mp3)

Problems with extending Twist, and one final preview – alphaville / FT


20-JUNE 
Is Merkel misinterpreted? Will the FOMC move decisively? – Saxo Bank

By Frontrunning QE, Did The Market Make QE Impossible? – ZH

What to expect from the FOMC tomorrow – Sober Look

Europe, Weak Economy Add to Pressure on Fed – WSJ

Fed Lacks Right Ammo to Bag ‘Animal Spirits’ – Real Time Economics / WSJ

In Case Of NEW QE, Gold To $1,900-$8,500 Says SocGen – ZH

20-JUNE (2) 
Art Cashin's No Frills Preview Of The FOMC – ZH

C’mon, Ben, Just Say It; Please, Just Say QE3 – MarketBeat / WSJ

Food for thought before and after FOMC – Saxo Bank

Fed doves ready to act – Gavyn Davies / FT

Veysey Says Fed Operation Twist `Baked in the Cake’ – BB (mp3)

Wells Fargo’s Silva Says Fed Will Skip `QE3’ – BB (mp3)

AFTER
FOMC Statement – N.Y. FED

Operating Policy – N.Y. FED

FOMC statement, 20 June 2012 – alphaville / FT
 
Stocks Drop As Fed Extends Twist Through 2012 – MarketBeat / WSJ

The Fed acts ... just – Free exchange / The Economist

Fed Twists and Shouts, but No QE – Marc to Market

Redacted Version of the June 2012 FOMC Statement – Aleph Blog

Fed worried about economy, but offers only small stimulus – Wonkblog / WP
 
Fed twists more, benefit little, BS risks grow – The Big Picture

Twist Again: Fed Extends Program to Keep Long Rates Low – MarketBeat / WSJ

Let's Twist Again: Goldman's Take – ZH

One Hour Later: Stop Hunt Over - Reality Reasserts – ZH

FOMC kneejerk reaction reverses course – Saxo Bank


Why Bernanke’s not doing more – Felix Salmon / Reuters

The scary take on Ben Bernanke’s remarks – Ezra Klein / WP

Is the Fed admitting that they are running out of ammunition? – ASA

Fed doing twist but no shout – Danske Bank (pdf)

Twist It Is – Tim Duy’s Fed Watch

Get ready for QE3 if things don’t get better soon – MacroScope / Reuters

Where to Next? – Tim Duy’s Fed Watch

21-JUNE


PM Dear Dairy: Stealth QE – Macro and Cheese

Bernanke Paves the Way for QE3 on August 1st – Calculated Risk

The limits of the unconventional – Free exchange / The Economist

Fed Expands Operation Twist by $267 Billion Through 2012 – BB

Fed ramps up economic stimulus, ready to do more – Reuters
  
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