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Wednesday, June 27

27th Jun - EU Open

Seriously, see last night’s US Close: Best Content Since..., as it had links to the best content I’ve seen in weeks.

News roundup – Between The Hedges
News roundup – The Trader
The 6am Cut London – alphaville / FT
Emerging Markets Headlines – beyondbrics / FT
Press digests by Reuters: FT, WSJ, NYT

Debt crisis: live – The Telegraph
The Euro Crisis Blog – WSJ
Tracking Europe’s Debt Crisis – NYT
FX Options Analytics – Saxo Bank
European 10yr Yields and Spreads – MTS indices

Asia today: Risk currencies a tad higher in a slow Asian sessionSaxo Bank
Another quiet, tight-ranged Asian session as the EU summit looms ever closer. Risk saw a mild uptick midaway the session as China unveiled new offshore Yuan plans for Hong Kong.

Market Preview: Merkel resists idea of Euro bondsSaxo Bank
European markets are likely to open firmer Wednesday. Investors await the outcome of Angela Merkel's and Francois Hollande’s meeting today. Yesterday, Egan-Jones downgraded its credit rating on Germany to “A+” from “AA-”, with a negative outlook.

Danske DailyDanske Bank (pdf)
Draft plan to be discussed at the EU summit falls short of calming markets. Egan-Jones cuts Germany’s sovereign rating. US stocks increase despite weak consumer confidence.

Morning Briefing: An open mindBNY Mellon
The dimming prospects for a credible solution to the Euro-area crisis is not the only issue that EUR bears must ponder

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EURO CRISIS
Ray Dalio: Don't Assume That Germany Will Bail Europe Out; Consider The "Fat Tail" A Significant PossibilityZH
we think the popular assumption that the Germans and the ECB (which requires agreement of the key factions within it) will come through with the money to make all these debts good should not be taken for granted.

Time for LTRO-III?Sober Look
Since the last LTRO funding however, the MRO amount has risen significantly, particularly in the past few weeks. It is now above the level it was prior to the last LTRO, indicating a sharp increase in demand for liquidity. That may be a signal for the ECB that it is time for a third round of LTRO in order to ease the tight liquidity conditions.

Famous Last Words From Eurozone FoundersThe Daily Capitalist
Open Europe put together a collection of famous last words by the promoters and founders of the Eurozone. It is a rather lengthy collection but here are a few which reveal how clueless they were when they launched the euro. You might enjoy going through the document.

Could Eurobonds be the answer to the Eurozone crisis?voxeu.org
Solutions to the Eurozone crisis must balance the evils of austerity and moral hazard. This column argues that the blue/red Eurobonds proposal might just get this balance right.

OTHER
After the Sovereign Debt Crisis Comes the DeleveragingEconMatters
Using the previous deleveraging cycle of Sweden and Finland post financial crisis during the 1990s as a baseline, McKinsey compared the current progress of US, UK and Spain.  What KcKinsey found is that the United States may have been half way through that process, while households in Spain and the United Kingdom have only just begun to deleverage. (see chart below).