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Thursday, August 15

15th Aug - US Open



Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Roundups & Commentary
Frontrunning – ZH
Overnight: Boring Overnight Session Redeemed By Latest Japanese Lie – ZH
The Lunch Wrap – alphaville / FT
Daily press summary – Open Europe
  Merkel’s intervention on returning powers from Brussels comes after meeting with reform minded Tory MPs; Mats Persson: Merkel sees the UK as key to ensuring EU really works for trade and entrepreneurship
Morning MoneyBeat: As Rally Stalls, Weakness Brews – WSJ
US Dollar Softer, but Going Nowhere Quickly – Marc to Market


EUROPE
Has Austerity Failed in Europe? – Project Syndicate
Daniel Gros: If the purpose of austerity in Europe was to reduce public-debt levels, its critics are right: fiscal belt-tightening has clearly failed, because debt/GDP ratios continue to rise. But the goal of austerity was not just to stabilize debt ratios.

Merkel backs plans to claw back EU powers – euobserver

UNITED STATES

Yellen Beats Summers as Most Likely Fed Chair in Poll – BB

OTHER
Yield Forecast Update – Danske Bank (pdf)
Central banks to keep rates low with data improving

FX Forecast Update – Danske Bank (pdf)
More GBP, USD, SEK strength in store

Insights Q3 Outlook: Plain sailing – TradingFloor
Tapering may have caused equities some pain in the second quarter, but the market was quick to factor in a likely end to quantitative easing. But fears of another shock to the system, at least from this angle, look groundless.

Insights Q3 Outlook: More of the same – TradingFloor
US fiscal drag will remain sizeable in the second half of this year and will keep growth lower than developments in the private sector suggest,

Insights Q3 Outlook: QE to infinity and back – TradingFloor
With the US Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing bonanza coming to an end, it’s time to face a new reality

Insights Q3 Outlook: Waiting for reality to hit – TradingFloor
The third quarter is looking good for assets, but it will also mark the end of the extend-and-pretend mentality

Insights Q3 Outlook: The calm before the storm – TradingFloor
The next few months should offer gold and silver some respite after a torrid first half of the year. Oil, meanwhile, is still a safe bet although any expectation that WTI crude will re-establish its historical premium over Brent looks fanciful.

FINNISH
Urpilainen: Viennin elpyminen vaatii kilpailukyvyn parantamista – HS
Teollisuuden ja kansantalouden haasteena on sopeutua rakennemuutokseen: meidän on kyettävä parantamaan vientimme hintakilpailukykyä ja samalla ohjaamaan voimavaroja uusille, kasvaville aloille, kirjoittaa valtiovarainministeri Jutta Urpilainen HS:n Vieraskynä-palstalla.

Ilmarisen talousjohtaja: “Suomen valtiontalous on euroalueen vahvin” – Revalvaatio

Maksutase kesäkuussa 2013 – Suomen Pankki
Teollisuuden liikevaihto supistui maalis-toukokuussa vajaat 6% YoY – Tilastokeskus
Palvelualojen liikevaihto kasvoi maalis-toukokuussa 1,3% YoY – Tilastokeskus