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Thursday, August 22

22nd Aug - EU Open

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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News roundup – Between The Hedges
The 6am Cut London – alphaville / FT
Asia Morning MoneyBeat: U.S. Stocks Tumble, Sullen Over FOMC’s Appraisal – WSJ
Europe Morning MoneyBeat: Weakness as Fed Uncertainty Continues – WSJ

3 Numbers to Watch: EU PMI, US jobless & PMI to show growth scene TradingFloor
Thursday’s key economic numbers include updates for the Eurozone PMI, US jobless claims, and the US Manufacturing PMI which are likely to paint a picture depicting if we really can begin to be more confident about growth.

Market Preview: Fed minutes reveal consensus on QE3 tapering TradingFloor
European markets are expected to open lower Thursday after the FOMC minutes revealed a broad consensus among policymakers to start tapering QE3 by the end of 2013. Today's manufacturing PMIs across Europe and US jobless claims data will be eyed.

Danske DailyDanske Bank (pdf)

Market comment – Tapering still a poisonous word for bonds Nordea
Bonds continue to take losses – US 10-year yield rises to new 2-year highs * Equities still under pressure * Fed continues to monitor data closely to determine its tapering plans * China’s PMI another sign of stabilizing growth * PMIs to maintain positive momentum? * Jackson Hole almost a black hole of new signals this time?

Kiinadatan hyvä vire saa jatkoa * Fed: loppu on käsillä * USA:ssa dollari vahvistui ja korot nousivat Fedin pöytäkirjoista

AamukatsausTapiola (pdf)


Spain's 'Real' GDP Could Be 21% Lower Than ReportedZH
Dramatic divergences between official (government-supplied) data and synthetic (market-based) measures of activity

Estimating the impact of monetary policy normalisation on assetsmacrofugue
The price of S&P 500 contains the expectation of monetary policy.  Thusly, monetary policy tightening has not negatively impacted the S&P 500 unless it happens more quickly than the market expects

Fed mins underpin tapering, swerve high yields fearTradingFloor
Juhani Huopainen: The minutes from the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee meeting on July 30-31 showed that the commitment to tapering is still in place with little concern over rising yields, but still no clear indication on a tapering timeline.

Few clues on timing of QE3 tapering in Fed minutesHandelsbanken
Analysts expect tapering to start in September * Irresponsible not to use this opportunity to taper

Fears of Capital Controls Rise as Indian Rupee FallsWSJ

China HSBC Manufacturing PMI
Better than expected, China appears to have bottomed out – Danske Bank (pdf)
Jumps Most In 3 Years To 'Miracle' Expansionary Print – ZH
Indicates early signs of a turnaround – Nordea

Sovereign 10-Year YieldsBespoke
As you can see in the charts and the adjoining table, rates have not just been going up in the United States.  In fact, in each of the six regions shown, rates are well off their lows of the last year.  

Nyt ne puheet vasta alkavatHenri Myllyniemi / US Puheenvuoro

Fiilispohjalta, Susanna KoskiSaloniemi

EVA: Työmarkkinoiden kolmikantapäätökset ovat aiheuttaneet Suomen kilpailukyvyttömyydenPiksu