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Saturday, February 1

1st Feb - W/E: Weekly Support

Here are the links to the weekly roundups, reviews and also previews of the beginning week. Last week's 'Support' here.

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Friday Close
Market Prices – Global Macro Monitor
Dow Dumps To 2nd Worst January In 24 Years – ZH
Weekly Scoreboard – Between The Hedges

The Economist’s Weeklies:

The Weekenderbeyondbrics / FT

Succinct summation of week’s eventsThe Big Picture

Schedule for WeekCalculated Risk 
January employment report on Friday. Other key reports include the ISM manufacturing index on Monday, January vehicle sales also on Monday, the ISM service index on Wednesday, and the December trade deficit report on Thursday. 

Economic CalendarBerenberg
Central bank meetings: ECB and Bank of England on hold * Global PMIs: developed economies going strong * US non-farm payrolls: extremely cold weather could delay jobs rebound

Economic CalendarHandelsbanken

UK Next Week's Agenda and Wrap UpHandelsbanken

Wall Street Week Ahead Reuters
Stocks may face pain, though buyers remain 

Key Earnings Coming UpBespoke
5 Things to Watch on Economic CalendarWSJ
The Labor Department’s employment report will be the headliner, but don’t forget to watch the supporting cast, as well as a possible cameo appearance from the weather.

What Matters in the Week Ahead for Global MarketsWSJ

Europe’s Week Ahead:– WSJ 

Weighing the Week AheadA Dash of Insight
Is the Economic Recovery Stalling Out?

Key Events And Issues In The Coming WeekZH
By Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, SocGen

Weekly Focus: Case for further easing by ECBDanske Bank
Lower inflation has strengthened the case for further ECB easing as soon as the meeting next week.
Week AheadNordea
US: ISM manufacturing survey, labour market report. We expect a setback in the ISM to 55, and we expect the weather to have effected payrolls negatively again in January, 150k, consensus 180k. Euro area: ECB meeting on Thursday, Draghi’s press conference dovish. Final PMI , German order intake and production. UK: no rate- or QE-changes. A new or updated forward guidance framework could be adapted, but unlikely.

Strategy: Too early to call the bottom in risk marketsDanske Bank
Too early to call the bottom in risk markets. Chinese data will be key for EM and risk assets in coming months. Euro-area inflation expectations very low – more pressure on ECB.Downward pressure on bond yields intact in the short term. Euro-area recovery on track despite weak credit data

The Big Picture: Resilient recovery despite EM wobblesDanske Bank
The Big Picture presents our view of the global economy and outlook for US, euro area, Japan and China.


Scandi markets aheadDanske Bank
Swedish and Norwegian PMIs and DGB auctions in Denmark

Viikkokatsaus: Tarjolla tuhti kattaus talouslukujaNordea
Viime viikko: Fed pienensi odotetusti ostoohjelmaansa * Hyviä Q4 BKT-lukuja (Yhdysvallat + UK) * Euroalueen inflaatio matalalla Tulevaa: Keskuspankkien kokouksia (EKP, BoE) * US työmarkkinalukuja * Paljon luottamuslukuja

Weekly Credit UpdateDanske Bank
Emerging market turbulence continues adding to the gloom
Euro RatesNordea

FX Outlook Marc to Market
The US dollar is poised to extend its gains against most of the major currencies in the week ahead.  The Japanese yen is the main exception.  A combination of equity market weakness, the smaller US interest premium and the large short position leave the yen bears vulnerable to further pressure.   

FX Board: EURUSD downtrend?TradingFloor
EURUSD is tilting strongly towards a new downtrend. Meanwhile, JPY crosses are very nervous on risk appetite while the NZD rally may be finished.

EMEA Weekly, Week 6Danske Bank
It has been a hard week for emerging markets so far.

EM Preview of the Week AheadMarc to Market

EM Week Aheadbeyondbrics / FT
PMI manufacturing indices for many major EMs; Thailand elections; ICC to look at Kenyatta case; results from BP and GsK; and the Winter Olympics begin in Sochi, Russia.

EM Bond Snapshot - January 2014 – Danske Bank
It has been a very challenging start to 2014 for global emerging markets and the kind of turmoil we saw in 2013 has spilled over into 2014.

EM FX: Strong headwinds ahead – Nordea
Plenty negative news from Emerging Markets this week, which caused the EM FX to weaken across the board. Looking ahead a few weeks, uncertainty regarding EM will remain elevated in Argentine currency market, Chinese shadow banking sector and political crisis in Turkey and Thailand.

Flash Comment: Mapping the EM sell-offDanske Bank
The dominant trigger is likely to have been worries about Chinese growth and the financial situation in China. However, local factors have also contributed to the ‘EM hurricane’. Overall, we can identify three characteristics of the sell-off. The hardest hit countries are those with large external imbalances (such as Turkey and South Africa), commodity exporting countries (like Brazil and Russia) and countries with rising domestic political/regime uncertainty (such as Ukraine and Turkey).

Commodities Update Danske Bank
OPEC output declines despite Libyan production restart

Commodities weaken on emerging-market turmoil, dollar strengthTradingFloor
Commodities moved lower during the course of the week as the gathering storm over emerging markets began to send waves through developed markets as well. The weakness was primarily driven by losses in industrial metals followed by precious metals.

Nine Event Risks in the Week Ahead Marc to Market

Economic Calendar –
Economic Calendar – BB
EU calendar –

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