Google Analytics

Saturday, December 20

20th Dec - W/E: Weekly Support

Here are the links to the weekly roundups, reviews and also previews of the beginning week. Last week's 'Support' here. This post will be updated as new material is published.

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

Follow ‘MoreLiver’ on Twitter

Weekly ScoreboardBetween The Hedges

Friday’s Price Monitor – Global Macro Monitor

Tyler’s Weekly Market WrapZH
Last Minute Fizzle Fails To Dent Best 3-Day Stock Surge In 3 Years

Succinct summation of week’s eventsThe Big Picture

US Schedule for WeekCalculated Risk

Economic CalendarBerenberg
Greek presidential elections: on the brink * Eurozone monetary data: slowly turning credit cycle * Global manufacturing PMIs: cheap oil effects?

Economic CalendarHandelsbanken

UK Next Week’s AgendaHandelsbanken

5 Things to Watch on the Economic CalendarWSJ
Before Santa comes down the chimney, reports on home sales, sentiment and other data will be released.

Wall St Week AheadReuters
Oil, stocks go their separate ways

Weighing the Week AheadA Dash of Insight

Time for the 2015 Pundit Forecasts!

Weekly Market OutlookMoody’s

Weekly Focus: Oil prices to bottom in Q1 15 Danske Bank
We expect the focus to remain on oil price development and Russia over the coming weeks * US: we estimate PCE core inflation was 1.5% y/y in November: The labour market report for December is due to be released in the first week of January * EZ: we expect headline HICP for December to decline to negative territory at -0.1% y/y, while core inflation should remain unchanged at 0.7% y/y * The third and final round of the Greek presidential election is scheduled for 29 December.

Strategy: Calm after the stormDanske Bank
Risk markets recover following another correction * Stronger business cycle signals set to underpin risk assets in H1 15 * Looming Fed hikes put upward pressure on US yields and USD

Week AheadNordea
In the US we will have a lot on the plate over Christmas including Q3 GDP, FOMC minutes and Non-farm Payrolls. The Euro Area will deliver a presidential election in Greece and a flash estimate of the euro area inflation. The most interesting event in UK over the next couple of weeks will be the MPC meeting in January. China will bring foreign trade data and both Norway and Sweden will deliver Novembers retail sales figures.

Viikkokatsaus – Nordea

Macro Watch: FOMC patient despite unruly ruble TradingFloor
The ruble stole the show this week with an abysmal performance, particularly on Tuesday.

Weekly Market SummaryThe Fat Pitch

If the trend line tops are in fact resistance, then there is limited upside from here (about another 2%).

2014 a fascinating year for equitiesTradingFloor
Disappointing year for emerging markets * Global equity markets continued to rise * Growth markets outperformed value markets by wide margin

Weekly Credit UpdateDanske Bank

Financial forecast update: More plenty of volatility around ChristmasNordea
Even though we expect long German yields to reverse course early next, yields have more room to fall in the final weeks of this year. We continue to expect the Fed to start hiking rates in June 2015 and the ECB to deliver QE in early 2015. More volatility will be in store in the coming weeks.

Euro rates updateNordea

FX Outlook: Dollar Bulls Regain Upper HandMarc to Market

FX forecast update: Santa bringing volatility instead of presentsNordea
The end of the year has provided plenty of volatility, especially in Scandis. While global oil price developments recently led us to revise our EUR/NOK forecasts, we see few reasons to change our other FX forecasts for now. While we see negative krona risks stemming from the Riksbank, this is to some extent mitigated by the current valuation of the SEK. We remain USD bulls.

Commodity weekly: How low can crude oil go? TradingFloor
Commodities are heading for the weakest annual close since 2002 as collapsing oil prices continue to set an overall negative tone in the market. This week, we saw some of the worst turmoil hitting petro-currencies while the U.S. Federal Reserve kept the door wide open for interest rate hikes during 2015.

Oil price to bottom when non-OPEC output rise halts – déjà vu #2Danske Bank

Economic Calendar –
Economic Calendar – BB

EU calendar –