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Thursday, December 4

4th Dec - ECB waits...and waits




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EUROPE
Europe’s Remedies for Japanization – WSJ

Lars Svensson: Svårt för Jansson att försvara Riksbanken – Ekonomistas

  EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
Introductory statement to the press conference – ECB

Eurosystem staff macroeconomic projections – ECB

Live Blog: Mario Draghi’s December press conference – FT
Live Blog: Draghi hints at more easing action – Marketwatch
Live Blog: ECB Countdown to QE– WSJ

ECB Says Much about Doing Nothing – Marc to Market

ECB Inflation Expectations Crash; Slashed By Half In Just 9 Months – ZH

Draghi’s oil front against QE-opponents – Merkelnomics
Current forecast: an announcement of a first intermediate QE in the first quarter, followed by sovereign QE in the second quarter, unless the Eurozone economy stages an unexpected growth revival.

Post-ECB: Investors Were Hoping For More – WSJ

5 Things to Know as the ECB Kicks the QE Can Down the Road – WSJ

Mr. Draghi Keeps QE Up His Sleeve. For Now – WSJ

Draghi disappoints with more delays and dithering – TradingFloor
The ECB keeps interest rates unchanged, confirms the economic outlook has deteriorated and cites the oil price decline as a reason to delay.

Draghi: ECB to assess need for more action early next year – Reuters

Draghi hinted at more easing in January – Danske Bank

Draghi Says ECB Will Reassess Stimulus Measures Next Year – BB
Mario Draghi dragged the European Central Bank toward more monetary stimulus with a pledge to assess the need early next year, disappointing investors seeking a faster commitment.

ECB’s reality check – Credit Agricole

ECB Said to Prepare Broad-Based QE Package for January Meeting – BB
ECB’s Governing Council expects to consider a proposal for broad-based asset purchases including sovereign debt next month, two euro-area central-bank officials familiar with the deliberations said.

ECB "QE Coming" Headline Sends Stocks To New Record High – ZH

ECB QE drifts from if to when, say many analysts – Reuters

Goldman Explains What Draghi Really Said – ZH

Draghi looks to QE despite governing council split – FT

ECB Market Take: Zigzaghi – Nordea
On an average day for an average central banker this was dovish, but given Draghi’s November speeches, less so than many hoped. Immediate market reactions are in agreement. The euro strengthens and rates tick up both near the front and in the “QE-zone” around 10Y. QE still seems close to inevitable and will likely arrive in Q1 2015.

ECB to buy everything but gold? – Nordea
The ECB refrained from new measures at this point, but Draghi prepared further the ground for more stimulus early next year. Risks to our call for sovereign bond purchases in March are now clearly towards earlier action. Core yields could rebound a bit higher in the near-term, but new lows still lie ahead. The euro will feel more pressure.

UNITED STATES
 FRIDAY’S PAYROLLS
Preview: Employment Report for November – Calculated Risk
Ahead of the November Employment Report – Tim Duy’s Fed Watch
US Employment Report: Not What it Used to Be – Marc to Market
5 Things to Watch in the November Jobs Report – WSJ

ASIA
Did Japan actually lose any decades? – FT

OTHER
Daily Central Banks – WSJ
Derby’s Take: For Fed Policy Rule Fans, Devil’s In The Details * Brainard Says Fed Limited in Its Oversight of Nonbank Financial Activities * Fed’s Plosser Repeats Call For Fed to Ready Rate Rises * BOE on Hold as Inflation Eases * Putin Calls for Push Against Ruble ‘Attack’

Daily Macro – WSJ
Although the likelihood is that no formal action will be taken at the conclusion of its governing council’s meeting, President Mario Draghi will have an opportunity again to lay out a path toward further monetary easing in his press conference. Signals from the central bank suggest its governing council is getting close to adopting outright purchases of government bonds–quantitative easing–notwithstanding German resistance.

Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Nordea Morning – Nordea
Political uncertainty dominates Swedish news flow * ECB monetary policy announcement today

FI Eye-Opener: Can the ECB really afford to wait? – Nordea
Longer German yields edge further up – US yields retreat a bit. Core yields with some more near-term upside left. EUR/USD at fresh 2-year lows. S&P 500 in record-breaking mode again. US economy maintaining momentum. ECB needs to deliver, but not ready for government bond purchases yet. Spanish and French auctions ahead.

Five Things to Know Ahead of the ECB Meeting – Marc to Market

US Open – ZH
Algo Eyes On Draghi Ahead Of ECB Announcement

Daily Shot: QE demonstrandum – TradingFloor

Trade Ideas for 2015 – Global Macro Trading

EMEA Weekly – Danske Bank

FINNISH
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Mitä Draghi tekee tänään? | Ruotsi järjestää uudet vaalit | Iso-Britannia on Euroopan suurista talouksista parhaassa vedossa

Keskustan kannatus pilvissä – YLE
Viime eduskuntavaaleista keskustan kannatus on noussut lähes yksitoista ja perussuomalaisten sulanut lähes viisi prosenttiyksikköä. Sekä kokoomuksen että SDP:n suosio on pudonnut eduskuntavaaleista kolme prosenttiyksikköä.

Nordean pääekonomisti: lomarahat pois – KL
Nordean pääekonomisti Aki Kangasharju ehdottaa radikaaleja toimia Suomen kilpailukyvyn palauttamiseksi. Nopeasti vaikuttavia toimia voisivat olla lomarahojen poisto, eläkemaksujen leikkaus tai peräti palkkojen alennus.

Elvytetty vai kiristetty? – Taloustaito
Elvytys ja budjettiautomatiikka: tekeekö poliitikon napinpainallus euroista erilaisia? – Harhala
  
"Miksi raha ei kelpaa Suomelle?" – Verkkouutiset
Kokoomuksen kansanedustajat Sanna Lauslahti ja Ben Zyskowicz ihmettelevät hallituksen päätöstä olla esittämättä EU- ja ETA-alueiden ulkopuolisilta opiskelijoilta perittäviä lukukausimaksuja.

Pekka Ervasti: Porvaripohja murenee – YLE
http://yle.fi/uutiset/pekka_ervasti_porvaripohja_murenee/7668944?origin=rss

Timo Soini: Suomen EU-maksu tuplaantuu ja valta puolittuu – Verkkouutiset
Pienten EU-maiden maksut kasvavat samalla, kun niiden valta vähenee, perussuomalaisten puheenjohtaja Timo Soini sanoo.

Putkonen: PS paljastaa EU:n ja maahanmuuton porsaanreiät – PS

Jäsenmaksut jakavat EU:ta – ”EU-politiikkamme pielessä ja pahasti” – PS

Sampo Terho: Junckerin komissio muistuttaa rötösfirmaa – YLE