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Monday, January 12

12th Jan - Waiting for Greece and ECB

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Euro-area outlook for 2015: recovery despite deflationDanske Bank

Is Greece’s debt really so unsustainable?FT
Banks Dust Off ‘Grexit’ Plans, But Is It Really Likely?WSJ

In Spain, Reconciling Negative Inflation and Rising Consumer DemandWSJ

The deflation naysayersBruegel
As the euro area experiences decreasing prices for the first time since 2009, not all economists are aboard the anti-deflation bandwagon, arguing that the worries expressed about mild deflations are misguided. In this review, we explore the empirical and theoretical arguments put forward by the deflation naysayers.

New capital goals and Santander share sale heap pressure on Europe’s banks FT
The ECB, which took over regulation of the eurozone’s 130 biggest banks from national supervisors in November, has given lenders until the end of this week to appeal against the capital ratios it believes they need.

The ECB and QE: Will It Work?WSJ
Whether the mechanics of Europe’s capital markets will render QE less effective in Europe than in the U.S., and whether QE really has any lasting effect on an economy at all, are still big questions on the Continent.

The ECB exploring QE options Sober Look

5 Questions On Quantitative Easing as the ECB Prepares to ActWSJ

Wolfgang Münchau: Eurozone must act before deflation gripsFT
A helicopter drop would work — but I fear it would be too unconventional for the European mind

Daily Central BanksWSJ
Hilsenrath’s Take: How Is It That Economists Still Don’t Get Where Inflation Comes From? * Fed Likely to Remain Patient on Rates After Jobs Report * Fed’s Bond Buying Yields Bonanza for Treasury * European Central Bank’s Bond-Buying Plans Face Doubt * Banks Ready Contingency Plans in Case of Greek Eurozone Exit

Daily MacroWSJ
Both oil market and economic data for countries outside of the U.S. are currently flashing the worst of both worlds. At some point that scenario has to give, though, as the windfall of lower energy prices has to kick in and produce some better economic numbers.

Danske DailyDanske Bank

FI Eye-OpenerNordea
Plenty of CPI data on the agenda this week * ECB QE speculation continues * US yields plunge

The Global Chessboard ReconsideredMarc to Market

Stocks Bounce On Daily ECB QE Rumor Regurgitation, Oil Plunges On Goldman Downgrade

From the floorTradingFloor

FX: enough is enough?Nordea
Oil price fall, close to major falls historically, coming to end. Can we expect another great year for USD? Sniffing the bottoms...

World Week AheadWSJ

Weekly Global Central Banks CalendarWSJ

Aamukatsaus Nordea
Öljy painaa myös USA:n inflaation lähelle nollaa | Venäjän uusi markkinavuosi alkaa synkkänä | USA:n työmarkkinadata oli pettymys

Matti Virtanen: Terrori-iskuista kotimaan politiikkaanYLE
7Puoluejohtajien mielestä ei ole syytä ryhtyä mihinkään toimenpiteisiin. Bloginpitäjä on vakaasti toista mieltä.

Korkeasti koulutettujen työttömien määrä kasvaa edelleenAkava

Miksi euroalueen laskevissa hinnoissa ei ole mitään yllättävää?Raha ja talous

Euroalue on vihdoin deflaatiossa – mitä se tarkoittaa?HS
Rahaliiton deflaatio on seurausta öljyn halpenemisesta, joten sitä on turha säikähtää. Deflaatio tai hyvin heikko inflaatiovauhti kertovat kuitenkin talouden pitkäkestoisista ongelmista. Se on Euroopalle erittäin vakava asia.

Roger Wessman: Euron heikkenemisen siunausMarketnoze