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Saturday, February 23

23rd Feb - Weekender: Economics & Markets

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Why central banks should take charge of their digital currenciesalphaville / FT
The mobile money/virtual currency arena is getting more and more crowded. And the question remains: will the concept ever gain the critical mass needed to become the next big thing in finance?

Central banks: Brave new wordsThe Economist

Blogs review: The safe asset shortagebruegel
Safe debts – or what is often called information insensitive assets, as they do not suffer from the types of financial frictions that are characteristic to other financial assets – play a major role in facilitating transactions for institutional investors. And, as we have learned in the recent years, they also play a major role in triggering financial crises when they loose their safety status and turn into information sensitive assets. As central bankers start backpedalling on their commitments to increase the supply of safe assets and start worrying about the negative effects of the “search for yield”, there has been a renewed discussion in the blogosphere about the role of safe assets and whether they remain in short supply.

Multipliers When Last the Zero Lower Bound ... Boundeconbrowser
Empirical evidence on inter-war multipliers

Data, Stimulus, and Human NatureKrugman / NYT
So yes, it has been disappointing to see so many people sticking to their positions on fiscal policy despite overwhelming evidence that those positions are wrong. But the fault lies not in our data, but in ourselves.

Fiscal stimulus in times of high debt: reconsidering multipliers and twin deficitsECB (pdf)

Global Dynamics at the Zero Lower BoundFED (pdf)

What would Hayek do to sort out this mess?LSE
In this lecture, Hayek biographer Dr Eamonn Butler of the Adam Smith Institute explains Hayek's view that a prosperous economy and a creative society are better achieved by individual freedom than by state planning.

The End of Growth Wouldn't Be the End of CapitalismThe Atlantic
With the U.S., Japan, and Europe facing lost decades and hundreds of millions of frustrated middle-class workers, it's worth asking: How much does capitalism need growth to survive?

Why do large movements in exchange rates have small effects on international prices?
Why is it that large movements in exchange rates have small effects on international prices? What does this mean for a crisis-stricken Eurozone? Using firm-level data, this column presents new research that investigates this exchange rate ‘disconnect’. Evidence suggests that the prices of the largest firms – with their disproportionately large share of trade – are insulated from exchange rate movements. The international competitiveness effects of a euro devaluation are therefore likely to be modest, given major exporters’ reliance on global supply chains.

The Rise of the RobotsProject Syndicate
Robert Skidelsky : Sooner or later, the nineteenth-century Luddites will be proved right: automation will cause us to run out of jobs – a prospect that for some countries might be uncomfortably close. So, what are people to do if machines can do all (or most of) their work?

Skidelsky on robots and more leisurealphaville / FT
Love him or loathe him, Robert Skidelsky’s prose always makes for a good read.
His latest offering comes by way of Project Syndicate and relates to the issue of robots and the rise of automation. To what degree are we really approaching a leisure society and how best to respond to the changes afoot?

How Paul Krugman broke a Wikipedia page on economicsSalon
An "edit war" breaks out over the Nobel Prize-winner's critique of ultra-conservative Austrian economics

Edward Hadas: Central banks are globalisation’s new enemyReuters
Globalisation is gaining ground almost everywhere in the economy. Central banks are a dangerous exception.

Booms and systemic banking crisesECB (pdf)

The Pareto Economyof two minds
The Pareto distribution suggests that costs could be cut by 80% across the entire economy.

A real model of MinskyPhysics of Finance

You Must Make the New MachinesMIT Technology Review
Economist Ricardo Hausmann says the U.S. has a chance to invent the manufacturing technology of tomorrow.

The Real Problem with the Big BanksThe New Yorker

Seven Lessons from Finance as a Traffic Systemre-define

Financial Regulators’ Global Variety ShowProject Syndicate

Table of ContentsEpicureal Dealmaker
I have decided to experiment here with this post, creating a topical index or table of contents for posts which I feel are worth saving and rereading.

Weekend Lecture: In Conversation with Daniel KahnemanGlobal Macro Monitor
3 Principles of the diligent contrariansTrader Habits

Making Sense Of Low Volatility InvestingIndex Universe
Article summarizes several hypotheses advanced to explain the persistent low volatility anomaly, reviews the performance of low volatility strategies in up and down markets, and shows how adding a low volatility component can reshape a portfolio’s risk–return profile.

Two good stock screens AAII and Validea

Visualizing Bob Farrell's 10 Investing RulesStreettalk Advisors

How To Get A Hedge Fund JobMebane Faber

The Holy Grail For Monitoring Your PortfolioThe Capital Spectator

Avoiding Mistakes in Hedge Funds: Lessons Learned From Blowups & Fraudsmarket folly

Smaller Hedge Fund Managers OutperformAll About Alpha
A study of nearly 3,000 equity long/short hedge funds