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Tuesday, February 9

9th Feb - Bear market continues

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Yanis Varoufakis launches democracy movementPolitico

European Sovereign Risk Soars As Bank Contagion SpreadsZH
Surging Credit Risk Becoming a Major Issue in European MarketsWSJ

ECB Will Cut To -0.7% In June, JPM PredictsZH

Deutsche Bank CoCo’s trading at 70% - FT
Finance Minister, DB CEO "Not Worried About Deutsche Bank" – ZH
Deutsche’s Cryan Seeks to Calm the Troops – WSJ

Turkey's Erdogan "taunted EU leaders" over migrant deal – The Telegraph
Is Putin trying to topple Merkel? – euobserver
Merkel mission unaccomplished – Politico

El-Erian: 5 Questions for Janet Yellen – View / BB
Yellen to testify on Hill amid growing doubts over interest rate hikes – WaPo
5 Things to Watch in Janet Yellen’s Congressional Testimony – WSJ
The World vs. Janet Yellen – WSJ

Jan von Gerich: Global: Unforgiving worldNordea
Market turbulence has increased to the extent that is starting to resemble the crisis days in 2008-2009. The ability of central banks to respond to a weakening outlook, to meet their inflation targets and keep risk appetite alive is increasingly being questioned. While many of the worries are warranted, fears of a global recession or another financial crisis are overblown. Central banks have not run of ammunition yet.

Steen Jakobsen’s Stress Indicators: A panic that's almost totalTF
Believers in central bank efficacy and QE have finally lost faith * Yellen will be dovish because anything else would be seriously bad * Price action rules and it cries: RISK OFF * Markit iTraxx Europe displaying a major alert signal

Deutsche Bank Is Scared: "What Needs To Be Done" In Its Own WordsZH

Why Portugal is Important Even If You have No Direct Exposure Marc Chandler

Fiscal Costs of Hidden DeficitsiMFdirect
Often times, debt increases significantly because an unforeseen obligation materializes. These contingent liabilities, as they are known in the economist’s jargon, can have significant economic and fiscal costs.

Structural Reforms and Productivity Growth IMF

Morning MoneyBeat USWSJ
This Market Remains Under Pressure

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Euro rates updateNordea

Risk-off mood dominates: flight to safe haven, core yields and JPY the choice * Declining faith in the ECB’s QE as the Euro-area periphery takes a beating * The JPY soars on global growth worries

Morning MarketsTF
This morning saw investors take another determined step away from risky assets leaving global equity markets in the red and the Nikkei 225 more than 5% off of yesterday's close.

Daily FX Comment Marc Chandler
Europe Stabilizes After Asia Melts

Daily ShotTF
Banks' shares are now in focus of the equity selloff * With its share tumbling and CDS spreads spiking, watch Deutsche * Eurozone periphery government bond yields rose * Gold is up again

Matt Levine’s Money Stuff – View / BB

Daily Press SummaryOpen Europe
Hungary says more talks needed on UK-EU deal, while Italy sees deal next week * Row continues over whether UK-French border control treaty would be imperilled by Brexit * Die Welt: Tusk proposal reflects new British-East European balance of power in EU * Founding EU members to hold discreet talks on future of EU * Weidmann: I did not argue for a Eurozone finance ministry for which there is currently no political support * Germany and Turkey call on NATO to help monitor migrant inflow * Fears rise that Greek bailout review could drag on * Economic data raise concerns about German growth * UK accounting regulator suggests firms should declare risks from Brexit

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
New Hampshire votes — Core Europe gathers — Merkel’s empty hand

Global Markets Stunned By Biggest Japan Crash Since 2013; All Eyes On Deutsche Bank


FX UpdateTF
USDJPY plunges, investors flee Japanese stocks * BoJ's failure to contain yen raises doubts on stimulus efficacy * USD traders on hold ahead of Fed meeting

From the FloorTF
Saxo Bank's chief economist says the crisis is here and now we have to hope for a quite dovish stand by the Fed. In the meantime this is the time for stock pickers and well-run companies like ExxonMobil which might be able to snap up struggling competitors' assets on the cheap as the energy sector rout sparks consolidation.

Dollari jakautui kahtia * Euroopan osakekurssit laskivat reilusti eilen * Suomen vienti ei anna tukea talouskasvulle * Turvasatamakysyntä tuki Japanin jeniä eilen

EU:n uusi pankkijärjestelmä testiin?Roger Wessman

Sijoitusmarkkinoiden luontainen epävakausRoger Wessman