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Friday, October 11

11th Oct - EU Open: Rally on possible truce



Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Roundups
News roundup – Between The Hedges
The 6am Cut London – alphaville / FT
Emerging Markets Headlines – beyondbrics / FT
Asia Morning MoneyBeat: Pity the Shorts – WSJ
Europe Morning MoneyBeat: At Last, A Bone From D.C. – WSJ


MORNING BRIEFINGS
3 Numbers to Watch: IIF meeting, US shutdown & consumer sentiment – TradingFloor
The negotiations on the US government shutdown and the debt ceiling are running out of time and consumer confidence data will surely show a negative reaction. Plenty of talking heads as the annual meetings of the IMF, World Bank and IIF begin.

Market Preview: US lawmakers reportedly nearing debt ceiling deal – TradingFloor
European markets are likely to open higher on Friday amid signs of relief as US lawmakers are expected to reach a deal on raising the US debt ceiling. Meanwhile, German CPI and US consumer sentiment data due later today will be eyed for further cues.

Danske Daily – Danske Bank (pdf)
In the US the House is expected either today or Saturday to vote on a bill that will temporarily increase the debt limit for six weeks without specific conditions for a framework for negotiating budget cuts. This is a big concession from the Republicans. The House will also be in session over the weeken
d working on a proposal for a temporary funding bill to end the partial government shutdown. The G20
-finance minister and central bank governor meeting in connection with the IMF and World Bank annual meeting in Washington will conclude today. A press briefing is scheduled for 19:30 CET.

Market comment: Markets cheer as debt ceiling might be lifted for weeks – Nordea
US equities had the best single day since January on potential postponement of debt ceiling * Bond yields also dropped in the US * Bunds expected to be supported this morning with spread tightening for peripherals * French FinMin sound upbeat on Bloomberg * Watch Michigan sentiment and IMF annual meeting

Aamukatsaus – Nordea
USA:n poliittinen takalukko hellittämässä * Painajainen Champs-Élyséellä * Englannin keskuspankin rahapolitiikka säilyi ennallaan

Aamukatsaus – Tapiola (pdf)
Osake- ja hyödykemarkkinat voimakkaaseen nousuun, kun toiveet USA:n velkakattokiistan ratkaisemisesta nousivat. Vaisalalta eilen tulosvaroitus, kun valtioiden kysyntä heikentynyt.
Osakefutuurit plussalla, indikoiden nousu avausta OMX HEX:iin.

Markkinakalenteri – Nordnet
Markkinakalenteri – Taloussanomat


EUROPE
Great Graphic: German CPI and PMI Output Prices – Marc to Market

UNITED STATES
  SHUTDOWN / DEBT CEILING
The Republicans want to take away Treasury's 'extraordinary measures'. Wait, what? – WaPo

Obama to Boehner: No? – WaPo

Obama and G.O.P. Fail to Agree on Debt Limit Plan – NYT

White House, Republican Meeting "Inconclusive", To Continue Throughout The Night – ZH

The Republicans’ worst poll yet – WaPo

Podcast: The Republican role in the budget battles gripping Washington DC – FT