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Monday, October 21

21st Oct - A week to remember?


German political news, ECB, asset quality review, delayed US data, PMI, IFO, next negotiations in US...


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EUROPE
Banking Nationalism and the European Crisis – Bruegel
Explaining both the build-up of risk in European banks in the run-up to the crisis, and the difficulty to resolve the crisis and restore trust since the inception of market turmoil in mid-2007. It concludes by identifying banking union as a potential game-changer, even though whether this will result in a positive outcome for Europe remains to be seen. 

SPD unveils German coalition demands – FT
Germany's SPD leaders list key demands of Merkel for coalition – Reuters
A nationwide minimum wage of 8.50 euros, equal pay for men and women, a financial transaction tax, greater investment in infrastructure and education, and a strategy to boost growth and employment in the euro zone. No mention of the tax increases for Germany's wealthiest which the SPD had campaigned for during the election but which the chancellor has absolutely ruled out.

Benefits in Europe: country by country – The Telegraph
The Telegraph details the benefits a 30-year-old EU migrant could access in each member state

Creeping Towards the Superstate: Some recent EU news – Craig Willy

Brussels stands ground against Draghi – FT
ECB president warns against destroying confidence

UNITED STATES
Economic Impact of Shutdown Was Likely Small – WSJ

Fiscal Crisis Leaves Stocks in a Sweet Spot – WSJ

Despite budget win, Obama has weak hand with Congress – Reuters
Obama has limited ability to achieve his policy goals through legislation, which could result in increased use of executive powers, administration officials and Democratic strategists said.

OTHER
Free Volling: As VIX Plunges, Someone Bets $6.7 Million On Prompt Rebound – ZH

FX Viewpoint: USD to fight? – Nordea
There is room for more weakness in USD. But it won't give up without fight. Change in risk sentiment could benefit.

The Investment Climate in Six Points – Marc to Market

Outcome Bias and the Interpreter – Credit Suisse
How Our Minds Confuse Skill and Luck

FINNISH
MOT: Kilpailukykytilastot kertovat mitä halutaan – YLE
Kilpailukykytilastoista saa kaivettua itselleen mieluisan tuloksen, sanovat asiantuntijat MOT-ohjelmalle. Heikoksi mainitulla kilpailukyvyllä on mm. perusteltu matalia palkankorotuksia.
http://yle.fi/uutiset/mot_kilpailukykytilastot_kertovat_mita_halutaan/6889571

Velkavaroitus Kiinasta: Yhdysvallat ei selviä – TalSa
Jan Hurri: Yhdysvallat väisti täpärästi liittovaltion luottohäiriöt, mutta velkasopu ei ratkaissut rahoitusongelmia kuin muutamaksi kuukaudeksi – ja lisäksi tavalla, joka kasvattaa eikä kevennä valtion velkataakkaa. Kiinan suurin luottoluokittaja sättii Yhdysvaltoja velkavedätyksestä ja epäilee, että tämä ei selviä veloistaan ilman keskuspankin setelipainoa.

Kun muut velkaantuvat, Ruotsin talous jaksaa porskuttaa – TE

Olli Rehn: "Liian aikaista riemuita, riskit ovat edelleen suuret" – Verkkouutiset
Olli Rehn: Yritykset hyötyvät EU:n byrokratiatalkoista – Verkkouutiset

Kansainväliset tarjontaketjut ja kilpailukyvyn mittaaminen – Akateeminen talousblogi

Eurokriisin mediajulkisuutta hallitsee eliitti – Verkkouutiset