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Thursday, October 17

17th Oct - Dollar offered as tapering is delayed

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Germany: Agreement on coalition talks in placeDB Research

Irish exit into the unknownPresseurop
After three years of public sector spending cuts, Ireland looks set to exit the EU-ECB-IMF bailout programme on December 15, but at what cost? The country remains mired in depression and the economy is now hollowed out.

How not to run fiscal policy: more lessons from the EurozoneMainly Macro

From 1999: Another UK housing bubble? No chance!Reuters
On Wednesday, CDU/CSU and SPD will enter coalition negotiations

America’s Debt-Ceiling Debacle Project Syndicate
Over-reliance on debt finance has strained the fabric of the democracies that it has helped to fund, with government finance increasingly determined not by electoral cycles and political deliberation, but by repayment schedules. Europe and the US must devise a better way to manage debt – one that does not undermine self-governance.

Bloomberg Consumer Confidence: Most Pessimistic About Economy In Two YearsZH

Paying the Piper: Cost of the US Government ClosureMarc to Market
The sixteen day political exercise in Washington is over.  The costs are being tallied.  There are economic and political costs that are worth considering.  

No, we didn’t get rid of the debt ceiling foreverWaPo

Economists React: Shutdown Dysfunction ‘Hardly a Shocker’WSJ

The Long March of the American RightNYT
Simon Johnson: Last week has provided additional insight into how and why the current governmental arrangement known as the United States of America will end.

When Is the Next X Date?Macro and Markets

The Hero of the Shutdown: Our Friend FREDWSJ

Kiss Tapering GoodbyeZH

Fisher Says Fed Stimulus Won’t Work Amid Fiscal FogWSJ
warned that there is a limit to how much the central bank can do to keep markets and the economy on an even keel while fiscal authorities wrangle over U.S. finances.

Evans: Fed To Remain Accommodative for Some Time to ComeWSJ
Now isn't the time to pull back on the central bank's easy money policies.

George: Fed Should Start to Cut Bond Buying, but GraduallyWSJ
George renewed her attack on the central bank's aggressively easy monetary policy, saying the institution should start cutting its bond-buying stimulus.

EMEA WeeklyDanske Bank
EM Bond Snapshot - October 2013Danske Bank

Good Managers Come Out of the ClosetThe view from the blue ridge
The more active and small funds beat the markets

In Praise of Debt CeilingsProject Syndicate
Hans-Werner Sinn: The recent wrangling about raising the US government’s borrowing limit underscores the hazards posed by excessive state indebtedness. Governments nowadays are essentially running gigantic redistribution machines that steer funds from taxpayers to transfer recipients and other beneficiaries of public expenditure.

Modeling the “safe asset mechanism”alphaville / FT
Both quantitative easing and forward guidance are unlikely to be very effective. The authors also add new dimensions to the commonly accepted New Keynesian wisdom on liquidity traps and fiscal policy, which they only partly agree with. The paper discusses a model of what the authors call a “Safe Asset Mechanism” — essentially a safe asset shortage characterised by a period of “excess” demand for safe assets.

Unconventional monetary policies and central bank independenceBIS
William C Dudley, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, at the Bank of Mexico international conference "Central bank independence - Progress and challenges", Mexico City, 15 October 2013.