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Friday, October 4

4th Oct - Weekender: Weekly Support

Here are the links to the weekly roundups, reviews and also previews of the beginning week. Last week's 'Support' here.

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Friday Close
Daily Risk Monitor - Global Macro Monitor

Europe: Exuberant At US Government Shutdown – ZH
US: Stocks Shrug Off Shutdown Shenanigans; Ignore Obama's "Sell" Order ZH
Weekly Scoreboard – Between The Hedges
US market portrait – Portfolio Probe

The Economist’s Weeklies:

The Weekenderbeyondbrics / FT

Succinct summation of week’s eventsThe Big Picture

Schedule for Week Calculated Risk

Economic CalendarBerenberg (pdf)
Politics: US budget crisis, German coalition talks * Fed minutes: housing market wobbles and fiscal fears led to no-taper decision? * Bank of England meeting: no action as economy roars * Trade and manufacturing data for August: economies recovering

Economic CalendarHandelsbanken (pdf)

UK Next Week's Agenda and Wrap UpHandelsbanken (pdf)

S&P 500 Earnings Week AheadReuters

Wall Street Week AheadReuters

Stocks to see more volatility from shutdown

(video) Asia Week Ahead: Taking China’s temperatureReuters

Weekly Focus: Political uncertainty to weigh in the short runDanske Bank (pdf)
US: focus will remain on negotiations about a temporary funding bill and raising the debt ceiling. With no near term solution in sight, the government shut-down could also postpone key data releases next week. Minutes from the last Fed meeting will give important insight into its surprising decision to delay tapering. Euro area: we expect industrial production data to have improved in August, suggesting that the softness evident in July was temporary. UK: Bank of England will be on hold for now with signs of an accelerating recovery but plenty of room before the unemployment threshold will be reached.

Week Ahead 5 – 11 OctoberNordea
US: While the FOMC minutes will be in focus markets could start paying even more attention to the government shutdown and its implications for successfully handling the debt ceiling. Euro zone: Industrial production numbers are out from Euro zone countries next week and markets will likely pay close attention to Draghi´s speeches as well. UK: BoE is widely expected to keep the Bank rate and QE program unchanged at next week´s meeting. China: FX reserves and credit data will be out from China next week. Markets have been closed most part of this week, and as such a delayed reaction of the US government shutdown could come on Monday.

Strategy: Look for further correction in equity marketsDanske Bank (pdf)
Political uncertainty is already priced in? We think not and still see a risk of further correction in coming weeks…In some ways this is a sweet spot for the stock market because leading indicators are giving optimism for equities. But actual growth and employment are still weak, keeping the Fed sidelined leaving the punch bowl for longer

Scandi markets aheadDanske Bank (pdf)
Inflation data in focus and attractive levels for being long DGBs and NGBs

Big Picture Look at Next WeekMarc to Market

Key Events And Issues In The Coming WeekZH

What Matters For Global Markets In The Week AheadWSJ
Weighing the Week Ahead - A Dash of Insight
Will Markets Look Beyond the Washington Logjam?

FX Outlook: USD is Looking A Bit Better Marc to Market

Weekly Credit UpdateDanske Bank (pdf)
The credit market has taken the political uncertainty with relative ease so far.

Global FI Strategy: Behind the curveNordea (pdf)
Or the summary.

EMEA Weekly: RUB has moved to era of high volatilityDanske Bank (pdf)

Emerging: Week Aheadbeyondbrics / FT

Emerging Market Preview: The Week AheadMarc to Market

EU Agenda: Intensely lobbied tobacco law to be votedeuobserver
EU The Week Ahead 7-13 OctoberThe European Parliament
EU Week Ahead: Cigarettes and Spies in StrasbourgWSJ

Economic Calendar –
Economic Calendar – BB
EU calendar –

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